Labour identifies key seats across Sussex

The Argus: Brighton Pavilion MP Caroline Lucas's seat is vulnerable to a swing to Labour Brighton Pavilion MP Caroline Lucas's seat is vulnerable to a swing to Labour

The formation of a new Government in the 2015 General Election could be decided in five key Sussex seats.

Labour has identified five of the county’s parliamentary seats as key political battlegrounds for the next election as they bid to win back power.

The party has set its sights on the three sitting MPs in Brighton and Hove, Hastings MP Amber Rudd and Crawley MP Henry Smith to turn the election in its favour.

All three seats in Brighton and Hove along with Hastings have been listed in the top 30 winnable seats in the country.

Brighton Pavilion MP Caroline Lucas is one of the most vulnerable MPs with a swing of just 1.2% of voters required to oust her – one of the 20 smallest swings in the country.

Provisional boundary changes proposed for the next election could make Ms Lucas’s task to gain re-election even tougher as models show that the redrawn Pavilion constituency would have voted Labour rather than Green in 2010.

Simon Kirby, the Brighton Kemptown MP, is also a key target for Labour having taken the long held Labour seat in 2010 with a slim 1,328 majority.

Target list

Labour drew up the target list using national swing and demographic figures, regional vote share models and local government election results.

A swing of 2% of voters in Hastings, 1.9% in Hove and 6.2% in Crawley would be enough to win Labour more Sussex seats.

Labour currently has no Sussex MPs after it was wiped out in the county in 2010.

Jack Fellows, the newly appointed Labour campaign manager in Brighton and Hove, said: “This is a clear indication that Labour is taking Brighton and Hove seriously and that we are capable of winning all three Parliamentary seats here in 2015, which will help rid the city of this Tory-led government which is making so many residents’ lives a misery.”

'Bottom line'

Hove MP Mike Weatherley said: “I think that the bottom line is that people want a government in place that is able to both listen and, after careful consideration, take the tough decisions that the country needs.

“We were left in an awful mess in 2010 and now we are getting on with getting Britain back up and running again.”

Dr Lucas said: “Since the Greens took Brighton Pavilion from Labour in 2010, it’s not especially surprising that they’d like to win it back but Labour has failed miserably to be an effective opposition to a toxic Tory-led government hell-bent on decimating public services and attacking the most vulnerable.

“I’ll be fighting hard in 2015 to continue representing Brighton Pavilion.”

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Comments (14)

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10:02am Thu 10 Jan 13

ruberducker says...

Jack Fellows, the newly appointed Labour campaign manager in Brighton and Hove, said: “This is a clear indication that Labour is taking Brighton and Hove seriously and that we are capable of winning all three Parliamentary seats here in 2015, which will help rid the city of this Tory-led government which is making so many residents’ lives a misery.”
AND YOUR POLICY'S ON IMMIGRATION HAS DONE WONDERS FOR THE COUNTRY!I’ll be fighting hard in 2015 to continue representing Brighton Pavilion.” JUST HAVING A LARK EH LUCAS.you cant trust ANYTHING a mp says.this country has gone to the dogs.
Jack Fellows, the newly appointed Labour campaign manager in Brighton and Hove, said: “This is a clear indication that Labour is taking Brighton and Hove seriously and that we are capable of winning all three Parliamentary seats here in 2015, which will help rid the city of this Tory-led government which is making so many residents’ lives a misery.” AND YOUR POLICY'S ON IMMIGRATION HAS DONE WONDERS FOR THE COUNTRY!I’ll be fighting hard in 2015 to continue representing Brighton Pavilion.” JUST HAVING A LARK EH LUCAS.you cant trust ANYTHING a mp says.this country has gone to the dogs. ruberducker

10:20am Thu 10 Jan 13

funkyyoyo says...

ill be voting ukip,all the way,farrage is quoted as being mad.id rather vote for a madman than a bunch of lying thieving cheating corrupt plebs for sure
ill be voting ukip,all the way,farrage is quoted as being mad.id rather vote for a madman than a bunch of lying thieving cheating corrupt plebs for sure funkyyoyo

10:41am Thu 10 Jan 13

NickBtn says...

I voted for Caroline Lucas last election - I won't be doing that again. Why? Well not from anything in her work as an MP but because I have now seen what "green" really means, and suffered under a green council.

This is unfortunate. Green politics should be a positive influence on other parties and offer some pragmatic ideas. Instead we have seen a range of extremist and impractical agendas pushed through in Brighton

I suspect many others feel the same - so Caroline Lucas will be looking for other work in 2015.....
I voted for Caroline Lucas last election - I won't be doing that again. Why? Well not from anything in her work as an MP but because I have now seen what "green" really means, and suffered under a green council. This is unfortunate. Green politics should be a positive influence on other parties and offer some pragmatic ideas. Instead we have seen a range of extremist and impractical agendas pushed through in Brighton I suspect many others feel the same - so Caroline Lucas will be looking for other work in 2015..... NickBtn

10:51am Thu 10 Jan 13

Joshiman says...

Need a coaltion UKIP/Labour/Tory.Wit
h an NOC.They all have good and bad points.
Need a coaltion UKIP/Labour/Tory.Wit h an NOC.They all have good and bad points. Joshiman

10:52am Thu 10 Jan 13

Tailgaters Anonymous says...

UKIP, Green, they're all protest vote winners essentially and little-removed from one-policy parties.
UKIP, Green, they're all protest vote winners essentially and little-removed from one-policy parties. Tailgaters Anonymous

11:01am Thu 10 Jan 13

Crystal Ball says...

A key seat was also recently identified in Ikea.
A key seat was also recently identified in Ikea. Crystal Ball

11:24am Thu 10 Jan 13

Fairfax Sakes says...

Regardless of who wins the next election, the Greens will be out on their a*ss, and not a moment too soon. Unfortunately they probably know this so will continue on their kamikaze course regardless of whats best for the city. The next council administration will have some serious damage recovery work to do....
Regardless of who wins the next election, the Greens will be out on their a*ss, and not a moment too soon. Unfortunately they probably know this so will continue on their kamikaze course regardless of whats best for the city. The next council administration will have some serious damage recovery work to do.... Fairfax Sakes

12:01pm Thu 10 Jan 13

RickH says...

funkyyoyo wrote:
ill be voting ukip,all the way,farrage is quoted as being mad.id rather vote for a madman than a bunch of lying thieving cheating corrupt plebs for sure
So racking up £2M in expenses, being caught out and promising to publish your expenses, then failing to do so somehow doesn't ensure Frarage falls into the 'lying, thieving, corrupt' categories.
He and his party are a bunch of blinkered xenophobes at best, a bunch of racist idiots at worst!
[quote][p][bold]funkyyoyo[/bold] wrote: ill be voting ukip,all the way,farrage is quoted as being mad.id rather vote for a madman than a bunch of lying thieving cheating corrupt plebs for sure[/p][/quote]So racking up £2M in expenses, being caught out and promising to publish your expenses, then failing to do so somehow doesn't ensure Frarage falls into the 'lying, thieving, corrupt' categories. He and his party are a bunch of blinkered xenophobes at best, a bunch of racist idiots at worst! RickH

12:05pm Thu 10 Jan 13

lordenglandofsussex says...

So the Evil Party is hoping for three out of three in Brighton in 2015. Well, I hope voters ignore their manifesto because whatever rubbish it says expect:

More immigration.
More benefit scroungers.
More crime.
More big brother.
More taxes.
So the Evil Party is hoping for three out of three in Brighton in 2015. Well, I hope voters ignore their manifesto because whatever rubbish it says expect: More immigration. More benefit scroungers. More crime. More big brother. More taxes. lordenglandofsussex

1:11pm Thu 10 Jan 13

Charismatic Andrew says...

lordenglandofsussex wrote:
So the Evil Party is hoping for three out of three in Brighton in 2015. Well, I hope voters ignore their manifesto because whatever rubbish it says expect:

More immigration.
More benefit scroungers.
More crime.
More big brother.
More taxes.
I'm all for more Big Brother. Really enjoying it at the moment.

Razor Ruddock to win!!!!
[quote][p][bold]lordenglandofsussex[/bold] wrote: So the Evil Party is hoping for three out of three in Brighton in 2015. Well, I hope voters ignore their manifesto because whatever rubbish it says expect: More immigration. More benefit scroungers. More crime. More big brother. More taxes.[/p][/quote]I'm all for more Big Brother. Really enjoying it at the moment. Razor Ruddock to win!!!! Charismatic Andrew

4:35pm Thu 10 Jan 13

HJarrs says...

NickBtn wrote:
I voted for Caroline Lucas last election - I won't be doing that again. Why? Well not from anything in her work as an MP but because I have now seen what "green" really means, and suffered under a green council.

This is unfortunate. Green politics should be a positive influence on other parties and offer some pragmatic ideas. Instead we have seen a range of extremist and impractical agendas pushed through in Brighton

I suspect many others feel the same - so Caroline Lucas will be looking for other work in 2015.....
I don't believe you ever voted Green, you have been criticising CL since the day she got elected. In fact all you used to do was slag CL off, at least you have increased your repertoire.

Perhaps you can enlighten us why LabourTory are so wonderful and deserve our vote.
[quote][p][bold]NickBtn[/bold] wrote: I voted for Caroline Lucas last election - I won't be doing that again. Why? Well not from anything in her work as an MP but because I have now seen what "green" really means, and suffered under a green council. This is unfortunate. Green politics should be a positive influence on other parties and offer some pragmatic ideas. Instead we have seen a range of extremist and impractical agendas pushed through in Brighton I suspect many others feel the same - so Caroline Lucas will be looking for other work in 2015.....[/p][/quote]I don't believe you ever voted Green, you have been criticising CL since the day she got elected. In fact all you used to do was slag CL off, at least you have increased your repertoire. Perhaps you can enlighten us why LabourTory are so wonderful and deserve our vote. HJarrs

4:39pm Thu 10 Jan 13

HJarrs says...

funkyyoyo wrote:
ill be voting ukip,all the way,farrage is quoted as being mad.id rather vote for a madman than a bunch of lying thieving cheating corrupt plebs for sure
That will be the "blame it all on foreigners, bring back grammar schools, global warming is a fraud" party! If you ever wanted to vote for "lying thieving cheating corrupt plebs" then you have the right people, did you see what some of UKIPs MEPs got up to? Talk about snouts in the trough!
[quote][p][bold]funkyyoyo[/bold] wrote: ill be voting ukip,all the way,farrage is quoted as being mad.id rather vote for a madman than a bunch of lying thieving cheating corrupt plebs for sure[/p][/quote]That will be the "blame it all on foreigners, bring back grammar schools, global warming is a fraud" party! If you ever wanted to vote for "lying thieving cheating corrupt plebs" then you have the right people, did you see what some of UKIPs MEPs got up to? Talk about snouts in the trough! HJarrs

8:10pm Thu 10 Jan 13

Somethingsarejustwrong says...

HJarrs wrote:
funkyyoyo wrote:
ill be voting ukip,all the way,farrage is quoted as being mad.id rather vote for a madman than a bunch of lying thieving cheating corrupt plebs for sure
That will be the "blame it all on foreigners, bring back grammar schools, global warming is a fraud" party! If you ever wanted to vote for "lying thieving cheating corrupt plebs" then you have the right people, did you see what some of UKIPs MEPs got up to? Talk about snouts in the trough!
Alternatively we could allow complete idiots (for clarity the so called greens) to continue to systematically destroy our once great town; people who voted Green should at the very least feel completely ashamed of their actions.
[quote][p][bold]HJarrs[/bold] wrote: [quote][p][bold]funkyyoyo[/bold] wrote: ill be voting ukip,all the way,farrage is quoted as being mad.id rather vote for a madman than a bunch of lying thieving cheating corrupt plebs for sure[/p][/quote]That will be the "blame it all on foreigners, bring back grammar schools, global warming is a fraud" party! If you ever wanted to vote for "lying thieving cheating corrupt plebs" then you have the right people, did you see what some of UKIPs MEPs got up to? Talk about snouts in the trough![/p][/quote]Alternatively we could allow complete idiots (for clarity the so called greens) to continue to systematically destroy our once great town; people who voted Green should at the very least feel completely ashamed of their actions. Somethingsarejustwrong

8:49pm Tue 15 Jan 13

Idontbelieveit1948 says...

H Jarrs wrote

"Perhaps you can enlighten us why LabourTory are so wonderful and deserve our vote"

Well Green grow the rushes ho, you only need to hear the twaddle the Greenies spout and see the damage done to our city in such a short time to know why the majority want the Greens out.

It really isn't rocket science - oops sorry forgot the Greenies banned rocket science, far too polluting !
H Jarrs wrote "Perhaps you can enlighten us why LabourTory are so wonderful and deserve our vote" Well Green grow the rushes ho, you only need to hear the twaddle the Greenies spout and see the damage done to our city in such a short time to know why the majority want the Greens out. It really isn't rocket science - oops sorry forgot the Greenies banned rocket science, far too polluting ! Idontbelieveit1948

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