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Millions of pounds to tumble from Sussex house prices

6:56am Thursday 24th January 2008

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Experts are warning homeowners to get out of the property market before a massive crash wipes more than £100 million off the value of Sussex homes.

Slowing house prices and mounting worries over sub-prime mortgage lending has led industry bosses to predict that the county's property market will slump in 2008.

Thousands of tenants could also be affected as estate agents go bust, swallowing up legal fees and deposits in the process.

The cracks are already beginning to show with Farrells, the Hove based estate agent, appearing to be the latest casualty of the downturn.

A spokesman for the Estate Agent Ombudsman said: "People are being affected everywhere and estate agents are no different.

"Places like Sussex where there has been a large increase in property prices in the last decade could well be affected more than most.

"If the downturn is as dramatic as many fear then a conservative estimate would be that £100 million would be wiped from the Sussex market within a year."

One source from leading property marketing firm, TeamProp, added: "I'm telling people to get out of the market quickly and diversify their portfolios.

"A crash is going to happen."

House prices across the county have rocketed in the last decade, with hotspots such as Brighton and Hove and Chichester among the places where the highest rises have been recorded.

That sudden rise has left the county vulnerable to equally dramatic falls in values.

And while many experts say large swathes of the county will be badly affected by the slump, some believe the most in demand parts of Sussex will survive any downturn relatively unscathed.

One Mid Sussex estate agent said: "It's not as good as it used to be but it is still a good market. Most of the problem is that the papers keep going on about it and making people nervous."

Any drop in house prices would be a fresh blow for families who already face having to settle for worse deals on their mortgages if their current packages run out this year.

National Homebuyers, the UK's largest home purchase company, has launched a £250 million fund to take advantage of tumbling prices by buying up homes and tempting sellers with quick cash.

Across the country an estimated 45,000 homes will be repossessed in 2008 because owners cannot meet their mortgage repayments.

Julian King, from National Homebuyers, said: "Banks have been lending too much to those who cannot afford it and subsequently ended up struggling to meet extortionate mortgage repayments.

"This year we're on a mission to help people sell the home they can't afford more easily and efficiently than ever before. We're focused on removing as much stress from the process for them as possible.

"The tragedy of people losing their homes because they cannot meet repayments must be avoided. This increases the likelihood of families being broken up because of debt."

Mystery still surrounds the sudden closure of Farrells, the estate agents in Goldstone Villas, which abandoned its offices without warning more than a week ago.

Frantic calls from tenants, landlords and homeowners have all gone unanswered, leaving most connected to the company fearing substantial financial losses.

Even TeamProp, which helps market Farrells' properties and has a close association with the firm, said it was still "in the dark" over what had happened.

A spokesman admitted: "It sounds as thought they've gone under, but we honestly are as much in the dark as anyone else."

Chairman of Brighton and Hove Estate Agent Association, Hugh Tucknott, said he also remained in the dark.

The full effect Farrells' closure will have on customers remains unclear but dozens of its people have contacted The Argus saying they fear they will lose out on thousands of pounds entrusted to the firm.

They include people who have paid out hefty deposits, are in the middle of buying or selling properties and who have forked out estate agent fees.

Some have even said they feel unsafe and have been forced to change their locks because Farrells has copies of their front door keys.

One industry source told The Argus that "some of the mess" could be sorted out fairly easily.

But he added that a lot depended on whether Farrells had made use of deposit protection schemes and had taken out proper insurance policies.

He said: "It could lead to some legal action, which would place further burden on customers.

"If the firm has been through all the protect procedures with deposits, it should be fairly easy and straight forward. But that doesn't stop people quite rightly getting worried."

Bill McClintock, a spokesman for the Estate Agent Ombudsman, added: "If Farrells has done everything by the book, customers should be okay.

"However it's not a nice feeling to be in that situation."

One customer, a tenant, said she was told that Farrells' head of lettings, Gary Vincent, had "gone to work on the trains".

She said: "I called my landlady who said that she had been trying to get in touch with them for two weeks as she had not received January's rental payment and each time she called there was no answer.

"We advised the landlady that we had spoken to Gary about ten days before notifying him of a delay with our rent to be told that he was leaving the firm and going to work for the trains."

Branches of Link Up Properties in Hove and Shoreham have also closed, a company spokeswoman confirmed.

Nobody was available to comment further on the reasons for the closure of the two branches which were both independently run.

The Argus was not able to contact anyone from Farrells.

Are you preparing for a housing market recession? Leave your comments below.


Your Say YourThe Argus

dc, sussex says...
7:05am Thu 24 Jan 08

well this story does nothing to help the hundreds of estate agent businesses across sussex trying to stay afloat.
don't get me wrong, i am no fan of estate agents, but this scaremongering story is totally unjustified and wrong with no actual fact behind it.
This kind of talk helps no-one, yes things are bleak, but there are positives to come aswell.

phil, brighton says...
7:17am Thu 24 Jan 08

We will not be satisfied until we talk ourselves into trouble. It is stories like this that do nothing to help the situation but just put fear in place. The meltdown anticipated above is pure exaggeration and based on very little fact.

graham, hove says...
7:44am Thu 24 Jan 08

Experts are warning homeowners to get out of the property market before a massive crash wipes more than £100 million off the value of Sussex homes.


Get out of it? You mean sell up and go live in a tent, or on the next bench along from Ed Mitchell?
What complete rubbish.
Or perhaps the story is more about telling speculators and profiteers to get out of the market eh? If they lose money then its their own fault for pushing up the prices for everyone else. Meanwhile the rest of us will batten down the hatches and get on with living.

Phil, Kemptown says...
7:47am Thu 24 Jan 08

A 30% - 50% "correction" in Brighton would be most welcolme

Anna B, Brighton says...
8:03am Thu 24 Jan 08

This is complete rubbish. The FT reported that the website propertyfinder had four times more people looking at Brighton than anywhere else. Brighton prices are bucking the trend but who will believe that with all this negative reporting? Loads of people are moving out of London to live here - easy commute and better value for money, that's why I did it. Come on Argus, support your readers by reporting the truth!

Priced out, Worthing says...
8:16am Thu 24 Jan 08

Anna B wrote:
This is complete rubbish. The FT reported that the website propertyfinder had four times more people looking at Brighton than anywhere else. Brighton prices are bucking the trend but who will believe that with all this negative reporting? Loads of people are moving out of London to live here - easy commute and better value for money, that's why I did it. Come on Argus, support your readers by reporting the truth!
Anna B - You are about to learn the hard way dear.

Alex Chapman, Hove says...
8:20am Thu 24 Jan 08

So, we all sell up and move out!!!! What everyone???? leaving loads of empty houses for the speculators to move into and make a killing in a few years time, what a load of nonsense!!! this sort of stuff should not be printed!!!!

JD, Brighton says...
8:23am Thu 24 Jan 08

If only the header "Get Out Now" applied to Miles Godfrey for this journalistic pap. This piece of headline grabbing hearsay only astounds in its contridiction and lack of facts. This kind of rubbish directly affects peoples homes and livelyhoods. Grow up or shut up.

Gareth, says...
8:23am Thu 24 Jan 08

Millions of pounds to tumble from Sussex house prices
By Miles Godfrey


One Mid Sussex estate agent said: "It's not as good as it used to be but it is still a good market. Most of the problem is that the papers keep going on about it and making people nervous."


That's honesty! Your own story shows you are just trying to scare monger!

James, Portslade says...
8:38am Thu 24 Jan 08

Has this "Millions of pounds to tumble" article worried you? If so, please contact National Homebuyers who will exchange your house for a purse of magic beans.

bob, lewes says...
8:42am Thu 24 Jan 08

The "unamed" (how convenient) source from team prop and this Miles Godfrey words are an utter disgrace - shame on them.

There is no doubt things will be getting more difficult in the property market we all know of this, but talking in this
scaremongering, sensationalist way is plain irresponsible and if anything a self fulfilling prophecy.

The fact is none of use know what the outcome will be and whilst it certainly isnt rosy this type of journalims and language is of no use to any of us..


Simon, Worthing says...
8:45am Thu 24 Jan 08

Isnt Miles Godfrey the one who wrote that atrocious insulting piece of journalism after teh pyecombe crash basically saying that all cars are evil and we should all get out of our cars etc etc.


I could not believe that article when I read it.

CH, Hove says...
8:47am Thu 24 Jan 08

My prediction is that there is s massive slump in local newspaper sales and this headline is the last desperate attempt to sell an extra few hundred copies before the wages go out next week.

roger, Hove says...
8:47am Thu 24 Jan 08

Other property hotspots such as Dublin have seen prices crash by almost 20% in just the last year alone. Lets face it, the market in the South East has been hyped beyond all logical valuations. A few weeks ago an article in the FT suggested that a 30% reduction in the UK was probable.

argus is daily mail in disguise, Hove says...
8:47am Thu 24 Jan 08

God this paper is going downhill.

David, Cambs says...
8:53am Thu 24 Jan 08

Hello, Redaing through the posts there must be some estate agents on here. Those of you who are complaining about this artcile, were you complaining when the papers wrote the opposite, house prices going to rocket forever buy NOW NOW NOW ! No thought not. What goes around comes around. What estate agents must understand is the housing market has had a great bull run and that bull run has come to an end, something was going to **** it and in this instance US subprime. Cheap money, reckless lending by banks how been out of order. Losses from the bank will hurt them badly and house prices are over valued by 35%. They will fall back to 2002 levels. So stop complaining and expect the worst because, debt, cheap free money has gone for for quite some time now.

Martin, Rottingdean says...
8:55am Thu 24 Jan 08

" Most of the problem is that the papers keep going on about it and making people nervous."

Funny that, newspapers are creating the story.

What a load of old rubbish.

David, Cambs says...
9:06am Thu 24 Jan 08

brambo I agree.. People have a right to buy an average home and when you consider they need to fall back to 3.5 times earning, when currently its pipped at 7-9 times earning, prices will need to fall 35% to bring them back to 2002 levels. Heres my predictions:

So
325 detached fall to 212k..
294 detached fall to 192k
220k detached needs to fall to approx 150k
160k semi needs to fall to 105K
120k terraced house to fall to 80k

Numb, here says...
9:10am Thu 24 Jan 08

Er, if you can find me a nice terraced house for 120k in a reasonably nice area of Brighton or Hove, I'm buying!
You can hardly find a bedsit, sorry, 'studio flat' for that price. Pah!

richboy, brighton says...
9:11am Thu 24 Jan 08

I sold up in london and I've bought 10 flats in brighton 1 year ago. I'm not really that bothered if prices plunge as I'll just buy some more flats as I'm in it for the long haul.

james, worthing says...
9:11am Thu 24 Jan 08

People also have a write to an investment brambo you idiot, especially as pensions are a joke..whats the matter..bitter cos you are still living with mumy and daddy..get over it!

jus, hove says...
9:14am Thu 24 Jan 08

I love this line:

"Thousands of tenants could also be affected as estate agents go bust, swallowing up legal fees and deposits in the process."

what a load of scaremongering pap!! LMAO!! we tenants all need to get out now!!! of course sussex will be the only place affected by any property downturn, the same won't be happening in neighbouring counties now, will it? but all the home counties' properties have seen a huge increase in value surely? we'd all best move to wales or scotland lest we all lose our deposits then!!

Cookey, SW2 says...
9:15am Thu 24 Jan 08

Very dangerous for the highly geared. Bought £300k, 10% deposit, drops 25% equals NEGATIVE EQUITY OF £45000.Saddled with a serious problem, before new mtg terms offered, unsellable house...kids need more space.Hurt is close by. Handing the keys in doesn't work, unless you want to pay off £45,000 plus interest.Investments go up as well as down

Honest John, Inspecting his new magic beans from National Homebuyers says...
9:16am Thu 24 Jan 08

brambo wrote:
Good. Now people who earn a normal wage can get on the ladder and all those toffs from London and scumbag landlords who buy to let can **** off.
Somewhat simplistic view of economics. Did you get that from your pull-out guide in today's Daily Sport?

jus, st. aubyns, hove says...
9:17am Thu 24 Jan 08

David wrote:
brambo I agree.. People have a right to buy an average home and when you consider they need to fall back to 3.5 times earning, when currently its pipped at 7-9 times earning, prices will need to fall 35% to bring them back to 2002 levels. Heres my predictions: So 325 detached fall to 212k.. 294 detached fall to 192k 220k detached needs to fall to approx 150k 160k semi needs to fall to 105K 120k terraced house to fall to 80k
160k for a semi in hove? do me a favour!! you can't get a 1 bed flat down my street for less than 180k!! studio's START at 120k at the moment!! keep it real mister!!

journo, hove says...
9:17am Thu 24 Jan 08

When did Miles Godfrey leave the Daily Star? Sorry to see his career has taken a down turn.

Jonathan, Wadhurst says...
9:33am Thu 24 Jan 08

"If you have a binge, you have a hangover," was what former chancellor of the exchequer, Lord Lawson, said on the BBC's Newsnight the other night.

"There's no getting away from it - we have had the enormous credit binge and now we're going to have the hangover."

House prices have defied gravity for so long that they no longer bear any relationship to earnings. It's all going to get very very ugly. All these people saying we're simply talking ourselves into problems are like alcoholics lashing out at the person who tells them 'you're drunk'.

Stroller, Hove says...
9:35am Thu 24 Jan 08

If all this is the case, then how can the King Alfred go ahead?

Alice, Shoreham says...
9:40am Thu 24 Jan 08

I laugh at all of you who believe the trusted sources of the Estate Agent and the guy from National Homebuyers. Of COURSE the EA is going to say that everything's OK and that this is all just scaremongering, but that doesn't mean it's true! Use a bit of critical thinking and open your eyes. Brighton prices have needed to come down for years, and this crash will be very welcome.

Dave, Brighton says...
9:41am Thu 24 Jan 08

Estate agents have a lot to answer for in this. They have been pushing up house prices for as long as I can remeber to fund their own lifestyles with not a second thought about how they are effecting the economy.
I have been saying for a while that, Estate agents should be banned from charging a percentage and only be allowed to charge flat transaction fees, this would remove any gain for them in pushing up prices to keep their convertible Audi or Bimma on the road.

DAT, London says...
9:43am Thu 24 Jan 08

An element of scare mongering in this article and no doubt that some people should lower their risk. However even in the top end of the London market I'm hearing of management cut backs at certain agents.

James, Gloucester says...
9:44am Thu 24 Jan 08

This is not scare mongering it is the truth. For the last 10 years idiots have been saying property is a good investment or can replace a pension. Property will sink at least 50% in the next 3 years.

DAT, London says...
9:47am Thu 24 Jan 08

Also I think its harsh to blame estate agents for the overpayment for some property. They are mostly led to believe by their management that housing is a win win so do believe it. Also they are just trying to make a living and I imagine many are over exposed to By to Let anyway.

James, is a prat says...
9:47am Thu 24 Jan 08

No James, it won't.

JD, London says...
9:47am Thu 24 Jan 08

As I have seen many economists recently say - and not lenders, estate agents, mortgage brokers (advisers - sic!), there is no doubt at all prices nationally will fall 35% by 2012 or so and more in areas such as Brighton - as they went up more here.
Accept it. Miles - brave and brilliant man. You will stop a few people at least from making the biggest financial error of their lives -and put off buying or not invest in property (invest, that's a laugh). By the way, I'm a Chartered Financial Planner and I give investment advice to real people and we have advised to clear out since 2006. Over the cycle this will prove obvious, in retrospect. But the hype has been astonishing. 'Captain, you cannae change the laws of... economics.'

shane knight, says...
9:47am Thu 24 Jan 08

HAVE YOU EVER HEARD A SONG BY THE BEATLES ON THEIR WHITE ALBUM......? LITTLE PIGGIES ...READING THESE COMMENTS ONE CAN ONLY IMAGINE....HHMMM WHAT YOU MUST BE LIKE X

Bilbo Baggins, Hobbit Town? says...
9:48am Thu 24 Jan 08

Perhaps the Argus/Property News should be far more reponsible and accurate with their comments bearing in mind that in excess of 2 Million pounds is generated in revenue per annum by estate and letting agents trying to sell and let peoples homes, and indeed our candid reporters fee for such inaccuracies! If not your end up like me living in a damp wet hole under the ground!!

Dan, Hove says...
9:49am Thu 24 Jan 08

This is cheap tabloid journalism which serves to scare, and sell newspapers. The housing market slowed in the last 1/4 of 2007 we know that. The Halifax will report a tough first 1/4 of 2008 with interest rate cuts planned throughout this year..doom and gloom is isn't - but we may talk ourselves into this. House prices need to re-align from last year and the market will remain active.

Serious, Hove says...
9:52am Thu 24 Jan 08

James wrote:
This is not scare mongering it is the truth. For the last 10 years idiots have been saying property is a good investment or can replace a pension. Property will sink at least 50% in the next 3 years.
I will bet you any money that any given average property in this area will not drop in value by 50% in the next three years. Any money.

Then we will see who is the idiot.

graham, hove says...
10:00am Thu 24 Jan 08

Does this mean an end to day time TV shows on how to make a fortune from doing up houses, usually with developers David and David (one of which will be a hairdresser), also with a presenter called David?

Snooper, Brighton says...
10:00am Thu 24 Jan 08

Let's face it, we've been here before. Back in the 1980s when the housing market collapsed, the estate agents were all saying "oh no crash is coming, you'll be ok, carry on buying and selling".

Then countless firms of agents went bust, and it took 10 years for the market to recover.

Don't forget that most estate agents aren't qualified surveyors - they are just salesmen talking up the market for their own good.

We see people every day on the tv, in shows such as "Property Ladder", being told their house is worth say £300,000 and then they put it on the market - with their estate agents complicit in this - at £500,000.

Then don't forget the "liar loans" of people claiming they earn more than they do just to obtain bigger mortgages.

The lesson is that anyone who trusts what an estate agent says is an idiot.

David, Bognor says...
10:03am Thu 24 Jan 08

House prices will fall by as much as 50% in real terms over the next few years. Even large interest rate cuts will not prevent this. We will follow the US into recession, and then a depression which will last 10-12 years. This is 100% certain.

G., Brighton says...
10:03am Thu 24 Jan 08

I agree with this article. To pretend/will otherwise would be like trying to levitate the Titanic in the the face of the iceberg!

Paul Smith, Hove says...
10:07am Thu 24 Jan 08

The estate agents are as much to blame for the mess in the hosuing market as the greedy banks are, they all ramped an unsubstainable market and now they are all crying.
Fact is, the housing market is going to crash, nothing will stop this crash, not even lower IR's because Banks are not lending, recession is on the cards big time, just face it, Britain became a nation that just sold houses to each other, we dont make anything for export any more.
Gordon Brown borrowed britain rich, that dont work Gordo!

Anyone jumping on the housing ladder train wreck, would be better waiting a few years for prices to come down to sensible levels (3 times income)
Time for BTL to get out unless they wanna get burned.

Lara, says...
10:08am Thu 24 Jan 08

JD wrote:
As I have seen many economists recently say - and not lenders, estate agents, mortgage brokers (advisers - sic!), there is no doubt at all prices nationally will fall 35% by 2012 or so and more in areas such as Brighton - as they went up more here. Accept it. Miles - brave and brilliant man. You will stop a few people at least from making the biggest financial error of their lives -and put off buying or not invest in property (invest, that\'s a laugh). By the way, I\'m a Chartered Financial Planner and I give investment advice to real people and we have advised to clear out since 2006. Over the cycle this will prove obvious, in retrospect. But the hype has been astonishing. \'Captain, you cannae change the laws of... economics.\'
Well said. Maybe this will stop some people making the biggest financial mistake of their lives.
Cash is king, sit back and watch the market go back to realistic levels.

PT, UK says...
10:14am Thu 24 Jan 08

I wonder how many of these dismissive comments are from local estate agents? Quite a few I bet! Estate agency is not a productive industry and requires no formal qualifications, so a wee little cull thanks to coming crash will be welcome!

On the whole, falling prices are a good thing. It will remove our ridiculous dependence on the 'feel good' factor of rising prices, and allow first-time-buyers to have their own home and provide existing owners more affordable upsizing. A recession is a necessary evil to restore some sanity and kill off the thickest EAs.

jay, hove says...
10:21am Thu 24 Jan 08

If house prices drop more investers step in, more people rent who have lost their homes, with bad debts and cannot buy again. This is good for landlords and investors. What some idiots do not realise is that landlords work bloody hard for their small return. There is so much legislation and costs involved in being a responsible landlord that it is a business and not a particularly lucrative one at that and yet we are propping up this governments lack of social housing so be grateful all you tenants or be homeless, this governement should be encouraging buy to let to ease the housing crisis as we are doing their job. Residents must realise that brighton and hove will always be a popular but small destination therefore will always have high prices in comparison to the rest of the country yippee keep the scum out, because there sure is plent of scum in this country. You cannot have affordable housing and retain this cities individuality, we will become souless and even more overcome with druggies drunks and freeloaders. Anyone wanting a cheap house or council housing there is plenty in other parts of the country so do not moan just move. Even if house prices fall a bit in brighton so many people refuse to work (hence the swamp of immigrants) that locals would still not be able to buy houses as they dont want to work.

King Stromba, Staffs says...
10:21am Thu 24 Jan 08

HOUSE PRICE CRASH!!!!

GET OUT NOW WHILE YOU CAN!

PANIC PANIC PANIC!

Paul Smith, Hove says...
10:24am Thu 24 Jan 08

Posted by: James, is a prat on 9:47am today
No James, it won't.

Oh yes it will,
You have to consider a few things, we have reached the lmits to growth, we have a Gas and oil problem coming our way, how productive will the economy be when oil is $200 + and natural gas hard to come by in the next few years.
We face an energy crunch and a liquid fuel crisis around the time the london olympics arrive (if they do). We also face food production problems, you have just seen the best 10 years you will ever see. Peak evrything has arrived. So when this plays out from now into the next decade, where are all the jobs coming from the fuel this boom?
Any industry we have left will leave for countries that still have resources.

Nuclear power? They wont get it done in time to bridge the energy gap!

You need to take your head outta the sand and think long term.
We are in trouble big time

james, portslade says...
10:24am Thu 24 Jan 08

Regardless of what happens in the property market over the next 48 months, this is a bizarre piece of journalism. If 'homeowners' was replaced by 'property investors' in the intro, it would make fractionally more sense. As it stands, it sounds as though people are being urged to sell their homes en masse! Which would achieve what?

TTW, Brighton says...
10:24am Thu 24 Jan 08

Dave from bognor how you make me laugh, do you have any spare crystal balls I could have?

Yes lets wish for a crash then we can also wave goodbye to our jobs and local economy with it...I mean who wouldnt want that?

Anyone with sense knows BTL is a long term game neccessary in order to ride out troughs and dips that occur over the longer to medium term.

Will all the dodgy used car salesmeen...oops sorry estate agents..please sit down and be quiet..

Jill, Bognor says...
10:26am Thu 24 Jan 08

STOP PRESS!

We are all going to die, the world is going to end, expect the very worse..OH yes and my crystal ball (and teh Argus) tells me..100% true...so there!

Eric Pink, Switzerland says...
10:29am Thu 24 Jan 08

Gosh, this crash is going to be huge. It might even be worth buying a house in Brighton in the trough in about 5 years time when prices have fallen by over 50%.

It's all happening exactly as Fred Harrison predicted in his book "Boom, Bust: House Prices, Banking and the Depression of 2010 " - Well worth reading if you're interested in the property market.

Flat Foot Soozie, Brunswick Square says...
10:29am Thu 24 Jan 08

If all these experts are such experts, why didn't they announce this earlier?

There should be a ban on those "look at me" suits worn by estate agents. You can see them as they get out of cars emblazoned with the firm's name and parked on yellow lines. There is nothing so uncool as trying to be cool.

Western Road is full of them.

T.Ruth (genuine), brighton says...
10:31am Thu 24 Jan 08

Looking on the positive side of this scaremongering story, I think the local councils would find it hard to justify an increase in our council tax if property prices were to collapse.
I have lived through 3 property crashes and the reasons for them were obvious when one looked back with the benefit of hindsight, high interest rates, high unemployment and worst of all, a Tory governments, but this time it’s different, for example interest rates are low and forecast to fall even lower plus there is a demand for at least 5 million more homes to be built in this country and the Bank of England are in control of interest rates, which in my view means that the worst case scenario would be a slight correction or simply more realistic house pricing conducted by estate agents, which everyone must agree, is long overdue. The thing I find most puzzling though is this, virtually everyone believed something had to be done to halt the unsustainable rise in house prices and now that something has happened, everyone is panicking, but WHY?
The people responsible for this property crash propaganda fiction story are the same people who are lurking out there like VULTURES waiting to buy your property at a knock down price at the auctions after it has been repossessed by the bank and that’s how these fat cats get fatter.
Don’t panic, don’t sell, sit tight and watch the supply and demand rule solve the problem, because it always has and always will.

Mark, london says...
10:31am Thu 24 Jan 08

Its about time a newspaper reported the truth. Estate Agents doing runners and an honest opinion to sell up by TeamProp. Well Done !! Its an absolute disgrace that an average family can't afford an average house. What sort of a society are we trying to create when a roof over your head is beyond reach for most of the population ?

Tony, leciestershire says...
10:31am Thu 24 Jan 08

Its amazing how many people are in denial of what is to come. All should have happened in 2005 and now it will happen in 2008 but will so much worse..

Lara, Hove says...
10:36am Thu 24 Jan 08

Jay Hove 10.21 am "Landlords work bloody hard" please explain, hope you haven't got that woman in mind featured in the Argus yesterday that didn't give a toss about what the neighbours had to endure for three years. Too many BTLs simply take the rent and don't care what happens to neighbourhoods after all they wouldn't live in there, would they.

Hovite, Hove says...
10:37am Thu 24 Jan 08

This is a spoof story - nothing more than an attempt to wind you all up. I suspect that someone will be laughing their duck off that so many have fallen for it. Whether any of it proves to be true we shall wait and see.

T.Ruth, brighton says...
10:39am Thu 24 Jan 08

Looking on the positive side of this scaremongering story, I think the local councils would find it hard to justify an increase in our council tax if property prices were to collapse.
I have lived through 3 property crashes and the reasons for them were obvious when one looked back with the benefit of hindsight, high interest rates, high unemployment and worst of all, a Tory governments, but this time it’s different, for example interest rates are low and forecast to fall even lower plus there is a demand for at least 5 million more homes to be built in this country and the Bank of England are in control of interest rates, which in my view means that the worst case scenario would be a slight correction or simply more realistic house pricing conducted by estate agents, which everyone must agree, is long overdue. The thing I find most puzzling though is this, virtually everyone believed something had to be done to halt the unsustainable rise in house prices and now that something has happened, everyone is panicking, but WHY?
The people responsible for this property crash propaganda fiction story are the same people who are lurking out there like VULTURES waiting to buy your property at a knock down price at the auctions after it has been repossessed by the bank and that’s how these fat cats get fatter.
Don’t panic, don’t sell, sit tight and watch the supply and demand rule solve the problem, because it always has and always will.

Ex-Argus reader!, Brighton says...
10:40am Thu 24 Jan 08

Did the Editor read this before allowing it to go to print?? I cant believe they have let this journo (Miles Godfrey) loose on the front page. It removes credibility from the the whole paper.
Dont they realise that £100 millon pounds wiped off of 250,000 homes - and there are more than that in the county - is a loss to every single householder of just
£400. To create a loss of £50,000 - which is what I would consider to be a meaninful fall - would affect only 2000 people on those figures?????!
hes been suckered by an Estate agent he didnt name who wants to encourage people to put their houses on the market.
The market is too high we know that - but there is still no reason for collapse.
This is the worst piece of journalism ive seen for a very long while.
Send him back to reporting on phallic looking vegetables or the dog that rides a scooter


T.Ruth, brighton says...
10:40am Thu 24 Jan 08

Looking on the positive side of this scaremongering story, I think the local councils would find it hard to justify an increase in our council tax if property prices were to collapse.
I have lived through 3 property crashes and the reasons for them were obvious when one looked back with the benefit of hindsight, high interest rates, high unemployment and worst of all, a Tory governments, but this time it’s different, for example interest rates are low and forecast to fall even lower plus there is a demand for at least 5 million more homes to be built in this country and the Bank of England are in control of interest rates, which in my view means that the worst case scenario would be a slight correction or simply more realistic house pricing conducted by estate agents, which everyone must agree, is long overdue. The thing I find most puzzling though is this, virtually everyone believed something had to be done to halt the unsustainable rise in house prices and now that something has happened, everyone is panicking, but WHY?
The people responsible for this property crash propaganda fiction story are the same people who are lurking out there like VULTURES waiting to buy your property at a knock down price at the auctions after it has been repossessed by the bank and that’s how these fat cats get fatter.
Don’t panic, don’t sell, sit tight and watch the supply and demand rule solve the problem, because it always has and always will.

CW, Hampshire says...
10:40am Thu 24 Jan 08

I was a property developer in the 80's. I went bankrupt and lost everything in the last housing crash, even our commercial bankers said it couldn't happen - but it did. I had people wanting to buy our properties but they were being downvalued by the surveyors week on week so they couldn't get the mortgages to buy them. This time I saw it coming and sold our house - pocketed healthy profit - and moved our family into a long term leased property. It's good to be watching it unfold from the outside but pity the poor devils who stand to lose so much.

Davey Jones, Brighton says...
10:41am Thu 24 Jan 08

How can your house be your pension? You'd need to sell it to access the cash to live on. Then where would you live?

Nice article.

John, uk says...
10:44am Thu 24 Jan 08

If the story is doom mongering what shall we call all the nonsense written in the last 5 years about how great property is? Hype?

Evan Owen, says...
10:46am Thu 24 Jan 08

I have never read such a poorly written article on this subject.

george, lavant says...
10:46am Thu 24 Jan 08

Sold ten months ago because I saw this coming; surely everyone did? Wages need to catch up to bring affordability back. Young people are sick of signing up for mortgage slavery just to live in a place they are not even proud of. The crash will come and we are just past 'top of cycle'.
www.propertysnake.co
.uk
www.housepricecrash.
co.uk

Matty, Brighton says...
10:47am Thu 24 Jan 08

How can it just be hype, a self fulfilling prophecy.

Unaffordability

1. Credit crunch (inability to borrow)
2. Decent earners v multipliers still can't make a house price
3. Falling share prices (Remember, your mortgage payment vehicle)
4. 100% mortgage buyers, deal ends soon with no more 100% mortgages available, some only offering 90% - Where are you going to find that 5-10% of your house value to remortgage?

.. will reduce demand.

No demand - No value.

No Credit - No Sale

and the cycle goes on, until, guess what...

Prices become affordable again...ahhhh, sigh

But is it that bad?

Yes, for those that have just bought i hugely inflated house that you don't intend on staying in for the next 5 or so years.

But for those that have an established house / mortage - Yes, now that extra bedroom might be £50K, not £150K

And for all of us that are FTB's, or recently out of the market...we might be able to buy somewhere that suits our level of industry, our salaries, and decent homes, in decent areas for decent families and people.

DOn't kid yourselves that the Estate Agents believe the market will remain active - Really - Who can afford to buy or upsize now?

I can't.


Pricey, North of Brighton says...
10:47am Thu 24 Jan 08

So much denial. Or is it ignorance? Or fear? Or a belief that if you keep shouting "its not happening lalala" then it won't? Not only is a house price crash here and WILL happen, so is a recession and a depression. The brightest amongst you will accept this and start making provision. The stupid will just keep crying foul and hoping it will all just go away.
The poster who said "you have just seen the best 10 years you will ever see" is spot on. Its gonna happen and the sooner you realise the less painful you can make it.

Larry, brighton says...
10:47am Thu 24 Jan 08

i almost bought a property in brighton a year ago, i'm so glad i didn't. i feel sorry for families/individuals who have felt they must overstretch themselves to get on the ladder or miss it completely, but as for all the silly part time property developers/tycoons who have a portfolio they can't afford or get rid of i couldn't care less. After the crash there should be huge taxes put on 2nd, 3rd etc properties to stop us ever getting into this situation again.

noblit, Camden says...
10:49am Thu 24 Jan 08

I grew up near Brighton and now live in London and I can't believe how over inflated prices are in Brighton now.

It is now a fact that prices will fall substantially this year and I fear Brighton will be hit one of the hardest in the UK as it has benefited more than most from easy-access debt over the last ten years.

It's is truly alarming that many people on here have no idea of what is around the corner.

What is the average wage in the Brighton and what is the average house price? Are first time buyers priced out? Have the lenders reigned in buy-to-let mortgages?

Prices can only go down........


Paul Smith, Hove says...
10:50am Thu 24 Jan 08

Posted by: T.Ruth (genuine), brighton on 10:31am today

yes interest rates are low compared to the last crash, but are they? Property prices are 2 or 3 times what they where in the last crash, so comparibly intrest rates are just as high in real terms as we have seen more than doubling in asset prices.

Most of the demand has come from BTL whom most probably rent out there property to half of eastern europe in the south east. I tend to agree with george Soros (Quantum fund)that recession is unavoidable in the UK now. So how many of them immigrants will stay around when unemployment rockets?
So demand will go down at the same time the baby boomers will be down sizing.

Again, Labour has borrowed britain rich, we have the lowest savings rate in western europe, the most indebted population in europe, all our jobs are in finance and the service industry and there wont be a lot of demand for that soon.
Listening to the Bank of England chairman the other night should have been a sobering wake up call to all.

BTW: Talking our self into a crash is ridicoulous, the fundamentals are there and that we cannot escape.

graham, hove says...
10:50am Thu 24 Jan 08

what wil be will be, I'm off for a pint down the local, anyone coming?

Pete Nichol, Brighton says...
10:52am Thu 24 Jan 08

"but this time it’s different..."

SELL!! SELL!! FOR GOD'S SAKE SELL!!

Jiml, Bath says...
10:52am Thu 24 Jan 08

This article is financially illiterate. There are maybe half a million homes in Sussex, so a drop of £100 million is £200 each on average. Hardly a crash.
A serious fall of 20% would knock about £50000 off the average price, which is over £20 *billion* for Sussex as a whole

RJ, York says...
10:55am Thu 24 Jan 08

At last, a report that highlights what is actually happening to house prices. The market has been so talked up over the last decade that young people can no longer buy an affordable home due to the greed of others willing/wishing to make money out of their home. Prices are approx 40% over- trend, almost double of their sustainable long-term value. This crash in prices over the next 5 years, will enable young families to once again own a home without having an even bigger Noose of debt hanging around their necks for the rest of their life.

matt Oxford, oxford says...
10:56am Thu 24 Jan 08

So inestors will buy as soon as the market drops a bit will they??.

Small problem there -

Credit availibilty.

Which isn't what it used to be be!

Dream on BTL'ers, the crash will wipe you out....

W Atcher, London says...
10:59am Thu 24 Jan 08

Mortgage approvals are down 50% Jan-Dec 07.
The market is in full-on crash mode.
Like it or lump it.
http://www.ifaonline
.co.uk/public/showPa
ge.html?page=ifa2006
_articleimport&tempP
ageName=688891

george, lavant says...
10:59am Thu 24 Jan 08

Jiml wrote:
This article is financially illiterate. There are maybe half a million homes in Sussex, so a drop of £100 million is £200 each on average. Hardly a crash. A serious fall of 20% would knock about £50000 off the average price, which is over £20 *billion* for Sussex as a whole
Hey Jim, that's cool,
So are you going to buy, buy buy right now then? hehe..... what agent was it you worked for by the way?!

George, says...
11:00am Thu 24 Jan 08

I presume that those trying to talk up the market have vested interests - investment properties, estate agents etc. There is no avoiding the fact that the crash is here NOW. There's no point in the Argus saying otherwise - it will just destroy its reputation if it lies. It is actually a very good thing that prices will fall to affordable levels. I have no sympathy for estate agents, they have been on a gravy train for the last decade with plenty of opportunity to save for the downturn. Those who lacked the foresight to do this and simply lived the highlife - TOUGH!!!

The Omniscient One, Brighton says...
11:02am Thu 24 Jan 08

Yes, just look at all the posters who are frantically trying to justify having paid massively over the odds for the real value of their houses, and those who've borrowed hugely against them to fund their lifestyles.

What worries me most now is the possibility of Brown forcing the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee to drop interest rates again to prop up consumer spending - which of course is predominantly based on the boom in house prices. If interest rates drop, then there is the possibility that house prices might soar again - making the inevitable crash (and is IS inevitable) even worse. This will be Labour's legacy, in the same way that people (er Labour people, that is) still berate the Tories for negative equity in the late 1980s.

The next house price crash will make the negative equity of the 80's look like a kiddie's tea party by comparison.

We've been here before. Brown says "no more boom and bust". Or rather, he USED to say that. The trouble is there has been a partial boom (in house prices, but not across the whole market, e.g. the FTSE 100 was 7000 on 31.12.99, today it's 5,700) but the bust will come anyway.

As they say, "you can't buck the market".

deaky, East Yorkshire says...
11:04am Thu 24 Jan 08

If you want to see some very really numbers that are affecting people, not just some made up city lala figures which are securitisation free, simply visit www.creditaction.org
.uk/debt-statistics.
html
This is a disgusting state of affairs, the UK has binged, unfettered greed has really taken control of senses, GB sold of the last of the family silver that was left after the tories and hasn't bothered to save a penny. The Markets & PMs solution to this cut IRs, sheer lunacy, the band was told to play on even as the titanic sunk you know! As a species with the ability to think of past, present and future when are we going to see that radical change is needed and fast. I could go on but i'm sure some yaboo will let me know that this is just a blip and it'll all be alright in a short while. Welcome to the UK a nation of stressed out, MEW'ed up, Fear driven, debt laden, greed & celebrity seeking Non-represented nationals but i'm sure some property developing VI (or wannabe) or maybe Jade Goody has the answer.

george, lavant says...
11:06am Thu 24 Jan 08

deaky, that's spot on!

Roger Tilbury, says...
11:09am Thu 24 Jan 08

House prices have never crashed. So-called experts have been predicting this since 2003 (and they never crawl out of the woodwork to tell us where they went wrong). Prices may stay the same of drift slightly lower but that is not a crash. Estate agents may go out of business because people are not selling but so what? They've been doing very well in the last ten years.

Price don't crash simply because people will not sell if they are going to lose money or even make less profit than they expected. They will stay where they are and extend/loft convert if they need more room.

Perhaps the Argus could leave this scaremongering, sensational nonsense to the Sport and the Sun (or are they trying to become that sort of paper?)

Andy, Yorkshire says...
11:09am Thu 24 Jan 08

I am sitting in the north of england reading the hysterical comments of both sides, weird how no one can be on both sides of the fence isn't it ? The truth is that expansion CANNOT be permanent. Home owners have used rising values to fund nice lifestyles for several years now and good luck to them. HOWEVER the creation of wealth from nothing (which is what house price inflation is ) must eventually be funded from somewhere... think about it. I will leave you with a consideration about "expert opinion" If you were to ask all of the financial gurus who now say that a property crash is impossible the following question what do you think their answer would have been ??.

"It is the year 2000 do you think that property prices will treble in the next 5-6 years ".

If any answer yes then why aren't they properety billionaires ??

LM, London says...
11:12am Thu 24 Jan 08

One mans loss is another’s gain. For the most part declining prices mean developers and investors loss and first time buyers win.

Why do the parasites get all the sympathy?

Alf, Lewes says...
11:14am Thu 24 Jan 08

Brighton prices are ridiculous and have been for 4 or 5 years now. Moving out into somewhere with less artifical prices and so less likely to be badly affected was one of the best decisions we ever made. A crash in Brighton would merely equalise it with the rest of the county and help make things more sensible. Nothing wrong with that.

tobi, brighton says...
11:14am Thu 24 Jan 08

Flat Foot Soozie wrote:
If all these experts are such experts, why didn't they announce this earlier? There should be a ban on those "look at me" suits worn by estate agents. You can see them as they get out of cars emblazoned with the firm's name and parked on yellow lines. There is nothing so uncool as trying to be cool. Western Road is full of them.
WELL FLOOZIE IS AT LAST MADE A SENSIBLE COMMENT , SELL SELL THE AGENTS CRY, THROUGH US SO WE CAN GET COMMISION, I HAVE SEEN IT ALL BEFORE STAY WHERE YOU ARE SIT TIGHT RIDE THE BUMPY RIDE BRIGHTON WILL GET A ROUGH TIME THIS YEAR. BUT LATE 2009 WILL COME BACK AT YOU , DONT BELIVE ME WELL LOOK UP WHAT HAPPENED AT THE LAST FALL IN PRICES, THEN 2YEARS LATER IF YOU ARE IN TROUBLE SWITHCH TO INTREST ONLY, DO ANYTHINK JUST DONT PANIC, A COUPLE OF MONTHS AGO THIS SAME NEWSPAPER, SUGGESTED HUGE RISES IN A PLACE IN HOVE JUMPS OF 300% SO JUST RIDE IT OUT, OUR ECONEMY IS THE BEST IN THE EEC. HOUSES ARE SUPPLY AND DEMAND. DO WE HAVE ENOUGH ACCOMADATION IN BRIGHTON TO MEET DEMAND, NO, SO DO NOT PANIC ITS WHAT THE NEWSPAPERS AND ESTATE AGENTS WANT. IF THEY DO FALL 50% I WILL BUY MORE, BEST PENSION YOU CAN GET

Mary Hinge, Brighton says...
11:15am Thu 24 Jan 08

Roger Tilbury wrote:
House prices have never crashed. So-called experts have been predicting this since 2003 (and they never crawl out of the woodwork to tell us where they went wrong). Prices may stay the same of drift slightly lower but that is not a crash. Estate agents may go out of business because people are not selling but so what? They've been doing very well in the last ten years. Price don't crash simply because people will not sell if they are going to lose money or even make less profit than they expected. They will stay where they are and extend/loft convert if they need more room. Perhaps the Argus could leave this scaremongering, sensational nonsense to the Sport and the Sun (or are they trying to become that sort of paper?)
"House prices have never crashed". I think you are living in cloud cuckoo land, Roger.

When would be a good time for you to pop round to give me a healthy valuation for my house so you can put it on your books and sell it in 2 days?

I'm thinking about £1.5m for a small victorian terrace. That sounds reasonable.

Alex, Sussex says...
11:15am Thu 24 Jan 08

Our Mr Subprime Minister will soon have to explain his "No Boom-No Bust" lie to millions.

the UK has the highest level of personal debt in Europe. In fact, what we owe amounts to just under one third of all consumer debt within the EU.

The game is over it is not "if" but "when" house of cards and Brown's miracle economy will fall.

So Estate agents who post here please don't lecture us & go find yourself a job before it is too late...

Matt ODonnell, London says...
11:17am Thu 24 Jan 08

There's no doubt that there's a massive bubble in the UK housing market, bigger than ever before. This has been caused by interest rates being set too low for the past few years, causing lenders to lend stupid amounts of money to people buying property.

The ratio of average price to average wage is now around 7, and history shows that whenever this ratio exceeds around 3.5 it always snaps right back again.

There was an estate agent on TV last night saying now is a good time to buy. I had to laugh! To buy now you need to be either extremely rich, or extremely stupid.

TOBI, sussex says...
11:20am Thu 24 Jan 08

Roger Tilbury wrote:
House prices have never crashed. So-called experts have been predicting this since 2003 (and they never crawl out of the woodwork to tell us where they went wrong). Prices may stay the same of drift slightly lower but that is not a crash. Estate agents may go out of business because people are not selling but so what? They've been doing very well in the last ten years. Price don't crash simply because people will not sell if they are going to lose money or even make less profit than they expected. They will stay where they are and extend/loft convert if they need more room. Perhaps the Argus could leave this scaremongering, sensational nonsense to the Sport and the Sun (or are they trying to become that sort of paper?)
WELL RODGER YOUR COMMENTS ON THIS ISSUE SEEM SPOT ON UNLIKE YOUR COMMENTS ABOUT THE LEGAL AGE OF CONSENT, GET IT CONSENT- MEANS CONSENTING

Matty, Brighton says...
11:21am Thu 24 Jan 08

Roger - Tilbury

Have you not considered that due to the heady mix of current economic climate, credit crunch that people - albeit may not WANT to sell, but might well HAVE to sell.

Simple terms -

Virtually all mortages are on a fixed term deal (Reduced Rate)

Banks are lending now at higher rates (Some going up as BoE rates going down)

Credit availability more difficult.

To put it briefly.

All these people - most buyers in the last 2-5 years are now coming off deals.

Some may not get a mortgage.

Think of the 100%+ mortgage gang - all those that have stretched it to the max to get that 2-3 bed house. Deal ends, at stupid %, new deal to be negotiatied or go onto standard rate - stupidly high%.

So go to bank - oh dear, no one's going to give you 100% anymore, 90% is the best you'll get - So how are you going to find that 10% on your nice £300K shoebox...remember that's £30K.

So - Stupidly high standard % standard rate - ****, can't afford it (And possibly going higher as inflation takes hold - and it will)

or find £30K upfront for my new mortage deal - ****, haven't got it, as i couldn't save, as i my mortgage payments were too high.

So what do you do? erm...sell.

Lot's of properties, lots of reductions.

But you in your established mortgage are going to sit tight?

But the house next door has just sold for £100K less...

Be careful, it might be the next BTL full of rogue tennants, and your house price comes down even more.

Then you lose your job, as recession takes hold, what do you do?

Well, your house has to be sold, but it's just wiped £200K off it's value (See above)

It's not that simple..

What the market demands etc etc etc

george, lavavnt says...
11:22am Thu 24 Jan 08

To buy now would be to
CATCH A FALLING SWORD
I've always liked that anology

Paul, Brighton says...
11:25am Thu 24 Jan 08

richboy wrote:
I sold up in london and I\'ve bought 10 flats in brighton 1 year ago. I\'m not really that bothered if prices plunge as I\'ll just buy some more flats as I\'m in it for the long haul.
Sorry to tell you this richboy but your business sense is sadly lacking. Intelligent investors buy cheap and sell high. You've bought high and will be in negative equity for 3-7 years

bingoburgerboy, burgerlandUSA says...
11:26am Thu 24 Jan 08

Andy wrote:
I am sitting in the north of england reading the hysterical comments of both sides, weird how no one can be on both sides of the fence isn\'t it ? The truth is that expansion CANNOT be permanent. Home owners have used rising values to fund nice lifestyles for several years now and good luck to them. HOWEVER the creation of wealth from nothing (which is what house price inflation is ) must eventually be funded from somewhere... think about it. I will leave you with a consideration about \"expert opinion\" If you were to ask all of the financial gurus who now say that a property crash is impossible the following question what do you think their answer would have been ??.

\"It is the year 2000 do you think that property prices will treble in the next 5-6 years \".

If any answer yes then why aren\'t they properety billionaires ??
Er, most of them are...like most experts...they know that prices fall & drop in 18 year cycles. They pretend that they think prices will continue upwards to ramp prices (but secretly they sell at the top). Then they buy up again at the bottom of the market.

Mark, Brighton says...
11:27am Thu 24 Jan 08

Brighton and Hove property prices must be due for a huge correction...has happened before and will happen again.

Andy Mellings, Hove says...
11:29am Thu 24 Jan 08

If you want to see all the house price reductions in Brighton then look here:

http://www.propertys

nake.co.uk/site/loca

tion/1107


I owned in Dublin and sold last year when prices reached 10 times earnings. They said houses couldn't crash there. Now down 20%...

Writing it on the wall people.

ANDY

Mel, Hove says...
11:31am Thu 24 Jan 08

Roger Tilbury wrote:
House prices have never crashed. So-called experts have been predicting this since 2003 (and they never crawl out of the woodwork to tell us where they went wrong). Prices may stay the same of drift slightly lower but that is not a crash. Estate agents may go out of business because people are not selling but so what? They've been doing very well in the last ten years. Price don't crash simply because people will not sell if they are going to lose money or even make less profit than they expected. They will stay where they are and extend/loft convert if they need more room. Perhaps the Argus could leave this scaremongering, sensational nonsense to the Sport and the Sun (or are they trying to become that sort of paper?)
Maybe you dont remember the housing crash in the late 80's when B&H fell around 30%

stevie dee, nottingham says...
11:39am Thu 24 Jan 08

Estate Agents are like carpet baggers, if you remember the last major fall in house prices 1989-91 the Estate Agents were going down like nine-pins or running off. The madness & euphoria created with this housing bubble which is far greater than in 1989, will be matched with a decidly savage correction. So, it is no surprise that a correction will occur. Couple this with the on-going financial crisis, the US going into recession, and the daily revelations of financial mismanagement, 2008 will be one hell of a year!!!

ah, brighton says...
11:39am Thu 24 Jan 08

DOOM, DOOM and more DOOM is this what you really want?

Why do people want there have to be a huge correction of 30+%?

This will help very few people - houses may become cheaper but will you all still have a job to pay your mortgage??

The best scenario is that house prices stagnate. This would mean that in real terms prices would fall (as wages rise).

This is possible if we have a Governmant who can run the economy effectively...

Do we??

Ian Powell, Hove Actually says...
11:40am Thu 24 Jan 08

Come on, look at the price of Hastings Old Town, Its at least half that of brighton and only an extra 40mins on the train.
Brighton only has amex as its biggest employer. I remember the last crash, Brighton got hit big.. No foreign Students, No Jobs just junkies on the streets...

seagullsovergrimsby, Crap Town says...
11:44am Thu 24 Jan 08

All these negative news stories appearing in the press about plummeting property prices is only adding fuel to the fire. Rises and falls in house prices are cyclical so a fall should be expected every now and again. The value of our house in Grimsby between 1993 and 2000 went up by exactly 0% due to rises and falls in the local market whereas prices in Brighton in the same period shot up by 150%. I had to laugh at the comments about National Homebuyers setting up a fund to buy properties , this is a good time for them to rubbish the market as they will pay cash for a property but only give 80% of its true market value so if you had a £250k flat they could say its only worth £200k and thus offer you £160k to take it off your hands. A lot of estate agents will bite the dust over the next 2 years but that was probably inevitable anyway as people realise how much money they are being ripped off for.

Brighton, Brighton says...
11:51am Thu 24 Jan 08

What is sad about the inevitable price correction is that those of us who are a bit older and have paid off our mortgages will not be impacted. The younger buyers who have bought at the peak will however be badly hit by negative equity.

Matt ODonnell, London says...
11:52am Thu 24 Jan 08

Jay wrote:
"...this governement should be encouraging buy to let to ease the housing crisis as we are doing their job."

The only "housing crisis" we have is a lack of affordable houses to buy.

Landlords buying up houses, then renting to them back to people (who would have been able to buy that house themselves if the landlord hadn't just out-bid him!) is not going to solve the problem.

Luckily the market will sort itself out soon enough, and then young people will once again have the chance of buying their own home.

Just a shame that the government stood back and let this housing bubble happen. They could have prevented it, or at least lessened it's effects.

george, lavant says...
11:55am Thu 24 Jan 08

Matt ODonnell wrote:
Jay wrote: "...this governement should be encouraging buy to let to ease the housing crisis as we are doing their job." The only "housing crisis" we have is a lack of affordable houses to buy. Landlords buying up houses, then renting to them back to people (who would have been able to buy that house themselves if the landlord hadn't just out-bid him!) is not going to solve the problem. Luckily the market will sort itself out soon enough, and then young people will once again have the chance of buying their own home. Just a shame that the government stood back and let this housing bubble happen. They could have prevented it, or at least lessened it's effects.
If we used the right measure of inflation then this would never have happened. Who to blame? Gordon clown

david barker, eastbourne says...
11:56am Thu 24 Jan 08

By any historical measure the housing market has been in an overvalued bubble for the last few years. This bubble has been created by cheap and easily available credit fuelling speculative buying. The bubble is now bursting and if it reverts to historic trends then 30 to 50% corrections would seem on the cards.

EA Bunkum, London says...
11:56am Thu 24 Jan 08

I suspect a lot of the comments here are posted by EAs with not a lot to do! Get real, the boom which has been fuelled by cheap money, the press and bad property TV is OVER. House prices always going up is NOT a good thing, as it just brings mortgage misery. It's only good for estate agencies and mortgage lenders. You've had your good times, but become too greedy & it's time to pay. Stop moaning and deal with it you selfish con merchants.

Richard, Brighton says...
11:56am Thu 24 Jan 08

It's about time the truth about property in Brighton is being revealed.

The average price of property in the UK is £250k 10 times the average salary. Brighton is much higher than average.

When will the sheep mentality of home owners wake up and realise that the only people to profit from house prices being so high are speculators (take a look at wanabe gangsters in their big flash cars on western Road) and banks (their greed we shall be paying for for years).

Money doesn't grow on trees (or maybe it does if you're amongst the many who have self certified their mortgage).

You want proof? just look in the Estate Agents Offices and see how many people you see!

Colly Cibber, Hove Actually says...
11:59am Thu 24 Jan 08

I don’t know why people are so scared of a property crash.

If you’re a property investor, I’m sure you were intelligent enough to realise that the value of any investment can go down as well as up, and that in the boom time you diversified into other investments and stored up capital for a possible future downturn….er….didn’t you?

And if you’re a mortgage holder…sorry, ‘homeowner’, you’ve got nothing to worry about either. You can just sit tight and ride out the crash. It’s not as if anybody would use the inflated ‘value’ of their home to get a second mortage, sorry, ‘release the equity trapped in their homes’ and waste, er, I mean invest this in flash new cars, trendy kitchens and foreign holidays or a string of overleveraged buy to let properties, is it? Er…surely they wouldn’t…would they?

You’d almost think some people had overstretched themselves by buying an expensive property without allowing a healthy margin of affordability in the event of interest rates rising, or perhaps even got themselves an interest only loan with no repayment vehicle. I mean, nobody would be THAT stupid, would they…?

joe Wheeler, bn2 says...
12:01pm Thu 24 Jan 08

This man Miles Godfrey is trying to make a name for himself and in turn his stupid headline can cause panic locally and nationally.
I own an estate agency and he has not done his research. The market is reacting to market factors and the market has slowed, but not in freefall. We are still selling properties but they have dropped in price slightly. It is not just my business that suffers when headlines appear like this, it is the hairdresser in the street, the clothes shop in the laines, the taxi drivers etc, everyone is affected when pieces like this are written. Think of the brighton econony first not your own ego Mr Godfrey.
This journalist needs to speak to people in the industry first and name his sources. He is going to get a lot of abuse for his comments and the story is about an agent going bust not the market. Stick to the facts

Richard, Brighton says...
12:02pm Thu 24 Jan 08

dc wrote:
well this story does nothing to help the hundreds of estate agent businesses across sussex trying to stay afloat.
don't get me wrong, i am no fan of estate agents, but this scaremongering story is totally unjustified and wrong with no actual fact behind it.
This kind of talk helps no-one, yes things are bleak, but there are positives to come aswell.
Please read: www.housepricecrash.
co.uk
it's happening now! Hold on tight and be careful for what you wish for!

Michael, London says...
12:03pm Thu 24 Jan 08

There is a lot of anger and denial in these comments but the article is reporting on views that are just as valid as those who seek to talk the market up. Perhaps if there had been less of the latter we would not be a nation of debt slaves owing more and more to the banks and pushing property to unsustainable levels.

MrT, London says...
12:09pm Thu 24 Jan 08

I own an estate agency and he has not done his research. The market is reacting to market factors and the market has slowed, but not in freefall. We are still selling properties but they have dropped in price slightly. It is not just my business that suffers when headlines appear like this, it is the hairdresser in the street, the clothes shop in the laines, the taxi drivers etc, everyone is affected when pieces like this are written. Think of the brighton econony first not your own ego Mr Godfrey.


How touching that you suddenly care about all those hard working hairdressers and taxi drivers, and i'd add nurses and other key workers that people in your "industry" ( as if you actually produce anything of worth to society) didnt give two hoots about when you were adding to the insane house price inflation, you will have to forgive those of us who can clearly see through your reptilian crocodile tears.

The crash is here if you like it our not.

S, Kemptown says...
12:12pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Phil wrote:
A 30% - 50% "correction" in Brighton would be most welcolme
YOU hope!!! A laught, if so I shall buy the whole of Brighton and Hove!!!

Mary Hinge, Brighton says...
12:12pm Thu 24 Jan 08

joe Wheeler wrote:
This man Miles Godfrey is trying to make a name for himself and in turn his stupid headline can cause panic locally and nationally. I own an estate agency and he has not done his research. The market is reacting to market factors and the market has slowed, but not in freefall. We are still selling properties but they have dropped in price slightly. It is not just my business that suffers when headlines appear like this, it is the hairdresser in the street, the clothes shop in the laines, the taxi drivers etc, everyone is affected when pieces like this are written. Think of the brighton econony first not your own ego Mr Godfrey. This journalist needs to speak to people in the industry first and name his sources. He is going to get a lot of abuse for his comments and the story is about an agent going bust not the market. Stick to the facts
"Stick to the facts" - Perhaps you should too Joe - the market is falling now, and the crash has yet to come. Of course it hasn't happened yet!

"The market is reacting to market factors". No sh1t Sherlock!

"Think of the Brighton econony " - yes, well I'm sure the Brighton economy would be in a far better shape if (a) ordinary people could actually afford to buy properties here (b) estate agents stopped driving up the market with their ridiculous valuations and (c) if the whole economy wasn't being propped up by the boom in house prices.

Matty, Brighton says...
12:14pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Poor Joe,

Well, you don't think about the Brighton economy do you Joe - and your fellow EA's.

When i was selling my house, it didn't take long for each 'surveyor' (how humorous) to over value my property, to engage my optimistic side.

Oh, and to tell me how you market directly to the 'London Market'.

Because bringing in hordes of Londoners and rich folk is going to do wonder for the economy.

That is why we are where we are now.

That is why as i decent earner, i can no longer afford to by.

That is why i truly hope the crash takes hold, and your business suffers through your own greed.


Brambo, says...
12:14pm Thu 24 Jan 08

james wrote:
People also have a write to an investment brambo you idiot, especially as pensions are a joke..whats the matter..bitter cos you are still living with mumy and daddy..get over it!
No, I don't live with my Mum. I live with your Mum.

simon, aylesbury says...
12:19pm Thu 24 Jan 08

joe Wheeler wrote:
This man Miles Godfrey is trying to make a name for himself and in turn his stupid headline can cause panic locally and nationally. I own an estate agency and he has not done his research. The market is reacting to market factors and the market has slowed, but not in freefall. We are still selling properties but they have dropped in price slightly. It is not just my business that suffers when headlines appear like this, it is the hairdresser in the street, the clothes shop in the laines, the taxi drivers etc, everyone is affected when pieces like this are written. Think of the brighton econony first not your own ego Mr Godfrey. This journalist needs to speak to people in the industry first and name his sources. He is going to get a lot of abuse for his comments and the story is about an agent going bust not the market. Stick to the facts
Joe, in some ways I sympathise with you but in others I don't. If you have a sound and secure agency you will neither have to talk up or down the market, just let the market decide and ply your business as you always have. However, if you have grown fat on the spoils of greed and debt then obviously you cannot expect sympathy. I do not know you so wish you well.
I might add that here in Aylesbury, Bucks prices are indeed in 'freefall' and local builders Barrett Homes have just laid-off 50% of their workforce with theremainder only finishing projects alreday started. Houses just are not selling here at all...at any price..this is fact I'm afraid not scaremongering. And quite the opposite of waht yoy say seems to be happening; most comments on here seem to support this article.

James's mum, Brighton says...
12:21pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Joe

If I were you I'd sell up the estate agency now.

And hello Brambo, nice to see you here. Last night you were a real monster in bed!!

lots of love

james's mum xx

R. Istbear, Rottingdean says...
12:32pm Thu 24 Jan 08

At last some truth about the madness that has beset this country ever since Gordon Brown promised that he would not allow house prices to get out of control. The plain fact is that houses are too expensive and they are wildly out of balance with incomes. Something is about to give and it will come in the form of a 50-60% drop over the course of the next couple of years. 100% certain and guaranteed.

jamie, oxford says...
12:32pm Thu 24 Jan 08

I work for any agent in Princes Risborough but originally frorm brighton. Both areas are stupidly overpriced and all the better agents secretly knew this would happen but it makes no business sense to talk you own situation down. Some local agents have already shed lots of staff; part-timers & natural wastage first. One agent has let 4 out of total office staff of 9 go! I ask for no sympathy at all. I'm just an underling who has seen colleagues go from a Ford Focus to Carrera 4S within 5 years and a part of me wishes them back in their Focus's!! But for many ordinary workers in agents this will spell financial disaster. My own feeling is that we will see something of a correction/crash even and it will last for about two years by which time wages will have caught up. By then I'll be back on the south coast repairing nets or something....actuall
y that sounds quite nice!

Lara, Hove says...
12:33pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Great article Miles Godfrey and very brave of you as I wouldn't be surprised if all the EAs along with joe wheeler are screaming down the phone right now to your editor threatening to pull all advertising revenues until you print PROPERTY ONLY EVER EVER GOES UP.
BTW joe wheeler nice property you have for sale Islingworth Road in its original condition circa 1905 no bathroom outside toilet all for only 245K.

Brighton, Brighton says...
12:34pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Don't be so silly Argus, everyone knows that houses are different from every other kind of asset and can ONLY go up !!

Binky, hove says...
12:36pm Thu 24 Jan 08

stupid scaremongering, most of us will be ok, just sitting tight. I bought my house for £199k its now worth £450k it would have to fall by a HUGE percentage for that to be wiped out, I can lose a bit and not worry. Poorly written piece

consa, Sussex says...
12:36pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Hahaha, I'm afraid some do not understand economics. http://forum.globalh

ousepricecrash.com

Kickboxer, Worthing says...
12:39pm Thu 24 Jan 08

I own my own property but cannot wait for a house price crash, then may be the country will stop being built over with nasty little apartments (sorry flats).

Richard, Brighton says...
12:40pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Would you buy a property from Joe Wheeler the dealer?

Matty, Brighton says...
12:42pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Good for you Binky.

...and let them eat cake.

jamie, oxford says...
12:44pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Binky wrote:
stupid scaremongering, most of us will be ok, just sitting tight. I bought my house for £199k its now worth £450k it would have to fall by a HUGE percentage for that to be wiped out, I can lose a bit and not worry. Poorly written piece
Wouldn't be too smug Binky, who says it's worth £450 now and do you think you could really get that in this market? I'm an agent and we can't sell anything at the moment unless it has 10% straight off with another 5-10% margin on top of that. these are desperate times.
Take a look at this link if you dare, house in Marlow down 37% and still can't sell. I know this time it feels more benign but this is a major correction and I'm afraid it is unstoppable now.

http://www.propertys
nake.co.uk/site/loca
tion/1109

Mary Hinge, Brighton says...
12:53pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Binky wrote:
stupid scaremongering, most of us will be ok, just sitting tight. I bought my house for £199k its now worth £450k it would have to fall by a HUGE percentage for that to be wiped out, I can lose a bit and not worry. Poorly written piece
That's all very well Binky, and I'm sure you've been sensible with your mortgage.

But there are plenty of other people out there who bought their house for £199k, only to have it valued now at £450k, and who have vastly increased their mortgage on the back of the increase in value to fund their lifestyle (new kitchen, new cars etc.) - when borrowing was cheap.

Now borrowing is far more expensive, and getting even more pricey still, and it's those people who are going to suffer when there is a house price crash.

RAS Putin, Brighton says...
12:54pm Thu 24 Jan 08

If people are saying that "It's different this time" - it's because the worst of the economic correction has yet to come. This is going to be a LOT bigger than 1989-1992

wrongmove, Brighton says...
12:54pm Thu 24 Jan 08

This is nothing more than a pathetic attempt by property agents to drum up some business.Prices are largely dictated by availability.

RAS Putin, Brighton says...
12:56pm Thu 24 Jan 08

wrongmove wrote:
This is nothing more than a pathetic attempt by property agents to drum up some business.Prices are largely dictated by availability.
Yes- availability of mortgages .

jamie, oxford says...
12:59pm Thu 24 Jan 08

RAS Putin wrote:
wrongmove wrote: This is nothing more than a pathetic attempt by property agents to drum up some business.Prices are largely dictated by availability.
Yes- availability of mortgages .
and affordability..
the key to most of the problems we f now

Larry Grayson, Brighton says...
1:04pm Thu 24 Jan 08

From poor mr Wheelers site, and mentioned previously.

Market, demand, etc etc.

So, i've just sold my studio flat in London for £250K, and i'm heading to the seaside!

Mr Wheeler thinks the market demands this

http://www.wheelerse
stateagents.co.uk/pr
operty-search/proper
ty-details/?m_proper
ty_propertyID=1006

Seeing is believing.

And this is where the bubble bursts.

I'm a professional, workin in Brighton, and i can't afford it.

And if i could. There is no way i would buy it.

And here endeth the lesson.

Prices over the peak of affordability, means they have to come down.

This should be nearer £160K to make it anywhere near a decent proposition.

Tragic

Mark the Estate Agent, Hove actually says...
1:08pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Whether you agree with the opinion (and it is purely opinion) of Miles or not, you have to admit that this article is woolley best.
There is quite literally no reference to specific sources or any real sign of research any where within this article. It reads as though Miles has decided the story he wants to write then vaguely inserted quotes from anonymous sources. I mean it's not exactly a dispatches expose is it? He even seems to become a bit bored half way through and just rambles about the implications of a small estate agent closing for the remainder of the article.
How much have the prices risen in the last decade Miles?

How does that compare the the national average?

Are there any historical market trends that indicate that the risk of a price crash is higher?
To be honest I don't know what is going to happen.I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips. But as I said I don't know, and neither does Miles, But I have scrawled my ill founded opinion accross the Argus.
Please make more of an effort next time.

PS a note to all the very vocal haters of estate agents. I can't afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords. So back off
PPS Loved the use of the word 'appear' twice in one sentance . Genius.

bob, lewes says...
1:09pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Stupid Naive people wishing for the worst possible correction, why lets not stop at 30, 50 60%..whos going to be first to suggest 70, 80, 90%!!

I agree a drop is inevitable, neccessary and even a good thing.

But house prices do not exist in isolation, they are part of the wider economy that includes employment levels etc.

There are people on herer who are clearly bitter about high house prices and I can understand why to a point but doomsaying like the author of this article helps no-one.

Teh fact is its going to get worse but non one on here knows how much worse for for how long, especially idiots saying something is 100% guarnateed - if so then any tips for this weekends races??

Matt ODonnell, London says...
1:19pm Thu 24 Jan 08

wrongmove wrote:
This is nothing more than a pathetic attempt by property agents to drum up some business.Prices are largely dictated by availability.
Not in the case of houses.

Though we talk of "buying" a house, no-one (except the very rich) actually buy a house - in reality we just borrow money from a bank, and pay it back over 25 years. So we don't really own the house - the bank does.

House prices are entirely governed by how much money banks will lend people. Over the last few years, banks and building societies have greatly increased the amount they are willing to lend people, so people have more money available to borrow, and therefore more money to bid on a house - so this pushed up prices accordingly, causing the present housing "bubble".

When banks start to restrict lending (which is what has started happening now) people can no longer borrow as much, so can not bid as much for houses. Prices then fall.

Our government chose not to do anything about this bubble, as rising house prices caused a feel-good factor in the country (at least for those who owned houses). Many people have been using the theoretical increased value of their home by releasing the "new" money in order to spend it (ie. spending money they don't actually "have"). This also suited the government, as it kept people spending in the shops, so they could claim the economy was doing fine.

Outcome: the population and the government are now in more debt than ever before.

Moral: Labour don't have a clue how to run an economy, and the Tories will now have an almighty mess to sort out when they win the next election.

jamie, oxford says...
1:22pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Mark the Estate Agent wrote:
Whether you agree with the opinion (and it is purely opinion) of Miles or not, you have to admit that this article is woolley best. There is quite literally no reference to specific sources or any real sign of research any where within this article. It reads as though Miles has decided the story he wants to write then vaguely inserted quotes from anonymous sources. I mean it's not exactly a dispatches expose is it? He even seems to become a bit bored half way through and just rambles about the implications of a small estate agent closing for the remainder of the article. How much have the prices risen in the last decade Miles? How does that compare the the national average? Are there any historical market trends that indicate that the risk of a price crash is higher? To be honest I don't know what is going to happen.I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips. But as I said I don't know, and neither does Miles, But I have scrawled my ill founded opinion accross the Argus. Please make more of an effort next time. PS a note to all the very vocal haters of estate agents. I can't afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords. So back off PPS Loved the use of the word 'appear' twice in one sentance . Genius.
Mark, you clearly are a 'head in the sand' type, or the blight hasn't got down to you yet? The London buyers you talk of will dry up rapidly now if they haven't already and you should not see that as Brighton's cash-cow - it's ruined our area. I am an agent on the border of bucks and oxon and we are struggling. That's an understatement - we're dying.
Buyers expect at least 10% off the asking price even if a property has already been reduced; and who can blame them really? And then even with that, some back out just before exchange because they feel insecure about what the market is doing and want an even better deal. I am actually sick of trying to talk this up and don't want to mislead buyers...for me this this just a job and I'm not going to tell people untruths. You must know as an agent that this thing hasn't bottomed out yet and there are no bargains to be had. There will be; but that could be a year away, or even longer. Who knows?
I note that you have very few properties on your books and most are of low value or sold - you must be worried. Hope it works out for you.

John, York says...
1:23pm Thu 24 Jan 08

I bought last year, i have just had my house put on the market and have only had 2 offers, both are 20% below what i paid. GO ON CONVINCE ME that this article is scaremongering! I am going down.

The Stirrer, Brighton says...
1:29pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Mark the Estate Agent wrote:
Whether you agree with the opinion (and it is purely opinion) of Miles or not, you have to admit that this article is woolley best. There is quite literally no reference to specific sources or any real sign of research any where within this article. It reads as though Miles has decided the story he wants to write then vaguely inserted quotes from anonymous sources. I mean it's not exactly a dispatches expose is it? He even seems to become a bit bored half way through and just rambles about the implications of a small estate agent closing for the remainder of the article. How much have the prices risen in the last decade Miles? How does that compare the the national average? Are there any historical market trends that indicate that the risk of a price crash is higher? To be honest I don't know what is going to happen.I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips. But as I said I don't know, and neither does Miles, But I have scrawled my ill founded opinion accross the Argus. Please make more of an effort next time. PS a note to all the very vocal haters of estate agents. I can't afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords. So back off PPS Loved the use of the word 'appear' twice in one sentance . Genius.
Oh my my, oh dear oh dear

I've heard some cobblers in my time, but that just about takes the biscuit.

It also sums up everything that everyone ought to know about local estate agents down here.

I take it you were in your nappies last time there was a house price crash? Any as an estate agent, do you have any qualifications other than being a member of the NAEA?

Negative Equity, wORTHING says...
1:29pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Why blame the estate agent, a house is only worth what somebody will pay for it. Simple Supply and Demand Economics. When people buy a property surely they check the market and what they can afford.

All this talk about a crash will surely create one. It's all about confidence.


James, says...
1:29pm Thu 24 Jan 08

People working in the economy have seen this coming for months.. not just this journalist who doesn't have a vested interest.

At the end of the day, if you've been sensible with your investments then you have nothing to worry about.. but if you put all eggs into the 'property never goes down' basket, you will have a grim reality shock.

It's basic economic principles. However, I genuinely hope no one has a rough ride.

steve, accrington says...
1:30pm Thu 24 Jan 08

I was in business in Brighton for 20 years.Over the last three years (from 2004 ), I noticed a slow down in business and was sure there was a recession on the way.I sold up and moved away.Bought a house for a fifth of what I`d have paid in Brighton,and now have a stress free life.I realy don`t understand the way everybody wants to live in the south,it`s overcrowded, and very overpriced.I wouldn`t want to move back there however low prices fall.

george, aylesbury says...
1:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08

John wrote:
I bought last year, i have just had my house put on the market and have only had 2 offers, both are 20% below what i paid. GO ON CONVINCE ME that this article is scaremongering! I am going down.
John, thanks for posting that and I am genuinely sorry for your plight. But at least it will hopefully stop some agents from trying to pull the wool over our eyes with silly posts on here. Jamie excluded!
Aylesbury is in serious trouble right now and so obviously is York. Has it not hit Brighton yet?

Spanish Gentleman, laughing All The Way To The Leads With Cheeky George Cole says...
1:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08

David wrote:
brambo I agree.. People have a right to buy an average home and when you consider they need to fall back to 3.5 times earning, when currently its pipped at 7-9 times earning, prices will need to fall 35% to bring them back to 2002 levels. Heres my predictions: So 325 detached fall to 212k.. 294 detached fall to 192k 220k detached needs to fall to approx 150k 160k semi needs to fall to 105K 120k terraced house to fall to 80k
Right its time this was sorted out.

David you are perhaps the dullest person ever to post on this site and I include myself in that. No one cares about your predictions mate. Also where exactly in our free market economy is it written that everyone has the right to BUY an average home? Nowhere thats the point of free market economics. You have the RIGHT to buy loads, not one.

All Londoners or other trolls writing about better value for money and so glad I did it. You did it as you are scared of black people and think that some of the Brighton trendiness will rub off on you. Any rubbish about cleaner air or liberal values is cobblers. Where you live dont make you what you are.

Any other amateur investors and economists. This cycle is well documented and happens with such crushing regularity that only idiots deny the truth. Face facts, whether storms and live in the real world.

Right thats that sorted.

MrT, London says...
1:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08

I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips.


Oh dear you just cant help yourself can you, I suppose that just the honest EA in you, on one hand you say you dont know what will happen and then come out with the above jem of a quote. You keep holding out for those rich Londinium investors ( who would jump at the chance of investing in a depreciating asset and lose money.../rolls eyes), this reminds me of those Hya
quote
cinth Buckets that notice prices falling around them but then say "but my street/road/area is different/special.."

I can't afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords


And you dont see anything remotely wrong with not being able to buy at a fair price in your area for all your hard work at all?? Well at least you get nice cards from the indebted which is nice of them, I have to wonder what the content of those cards will be next year though.

Jiml, Bath says...
1:38pm Thu 24 Jan 08

george wrote:
Jiml wrote:
This article is financially illiterate. There are maybe half a million homes in Sussex, so a drop of £100 million is £200 each on average. Hardly a crash. A serious fall of 20% would knock about £50000 off the average price, which is over £20 *billion* for Sussex as a whole
Hey Jim, that's cool,
So are you going to buy, buy buy right now then? hehe..... what agent was it you worked for by the way?!
No, I think I'll wait till next year and save £200...
Seriously, I think there will be a crash (bring it on) and the numbers are big. Nationally, a 20% fall would mean "loss" of the order of £1trillion. Only on paper, but unfortunately the debt which bought it is real.

Barry Humphries, Brigthon says...
1:42pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Negative Equity wrote:
Why blame the estate agent, a house is only worth what somebody will pay for it. Simple Supply and Demand Economics. When people buy a property surely they check the market and what they can afford. All this talk about a crash will surely create one. It's all about confidence.
Because it's the Estate Agent that have been talking up a market, that Economically should be receding, giving people the impression they should buy now before they can no longer afford it.

Thus putting people in the position of NEgative Equity, unaffordability, over stretching themselves, bankruptcy.

Imagine if housing was sold by a government controlled agency that used market factors to predict house prices over the next few years, and not the desperate attempts of EA's talking up the market.

WOuld so many people have overstretched in the last 3 years.

That's why EA's are getting a hard time on here.

Reynard, Brighton says...
1:46pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Nothing would make me happier than seeing that Mischon bloke trading in his Bentley for a Nissan Micra, and all his cohorts trading in their branded Minis for push bikes.

Nothing!!

Harvey G, Leamington Spa says...
1:55pm Thu 24 Jan 08

I sold almost 2 years ago after making a few quid. I'm now renting, and watching you all stick your heads in the sand. I'm waiting at least 2 more years to get back in. Should bag a tidy bargain eh?

Mark the Letting Agent, Hove says...
1:58pm Thu 24 Jan 08

jamie wrote:
Mark the Estate Agent wrote: Whether you agree with the opinion (and it is purely opinion) of Miles or not, you have to admit that this article is woolley best. There is quite literally no reference to specific sources or any real sign of research any where within this article. It reads as though Miles has decided the story he wants to write then vaguely inserted quotes from anonymous sources. I mean it\'s not exactly a dispatches expose is it? He even seems to become a bit bored half way through and just rambles about the implications of a small estate agent closing for the remainder of the article. How much have the prices risen in the last decade Miles? How does that compare the the national average? Are there any historical market trends that indicate that the risk of a price crash is higher? To be honest I don\'t know what is going to happen.I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips. But as I said I don\'t know, and neither does Miles, But I have scrawled my ill founded opinion accross the Argus. Please make more of an effort next time. PS a note to all the very vocal haters of estate agents. I can\'t afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords. So back off PPS Loved the use of the word \'appear\' twice in one sentance . Genius.
Mark, you clearly are a \'head in the sand\' type, or the blight hasn\'t got down to you yet? The London buyers you talk of will dry up rapidly now if they haven\'t already and you should not see that as Brighton\'s cash-cow - it\'s ruined our area. I am an agent on the border of bucks and oxon and we are struggling. That\'s an understatement - we\'re dying. Buyers expect at least 10% off the asking price even if a property has already been reduced; and who can blame them really? And then even with that, some back out just before exchange because they feel insecure about what the market is doing and want an even better deal. I am actually sick of trying to talk this up and don\'t want to mislead buyers...for me this this just a job and I\'m not going to tell people untruths. You must know as an agent that this thing hasn\'t bottomed out yet and there are no bargains to be had. There will be; but that could be a year away, or even longer. Who knows? I note that you have very few properties on your books and most are of low value or sold - you must be worried. Hope it works out for you.
Good points, sorry to hear things are so tough at the moment, we aren't feeling it so badly here, but as you say it may be coming. I don't refute there is a downturn in the market but I don't think you, I or Miles can reliably announce an imminent crash. Is there a possibility that perhaps there is still some serious adjusting for Vendors to do in terms of what they will accept? Owners are having a hard time accepting that what they consider a reduction isn't enough. there is a real differences between some of the prices achieved at the peak last year and what are achievable now, it's hard to swallow but buyers know it and Vendors slow to give up 'trying' for that little extra. Hence why during this adjustment period, agents are struggling to tie things up, there is a gap between the twos percieved values, buyers are undervaluing a litte and Vendors (and agents) are overvaluing still.
I just mean perhaps reporting slightly less sensationally and little more factually would perhaps alert Vendors they need to lower their expectations whilst not scaring the wits out of Joe Public to the point that we panic ourselves into a crash.
BUT AS I SAID I don't don't for sure either way. My reason for writing was due to the real lack of Substance in an article of this type.
Just as a word of advise, I have moved back into the lettings market recently and woudl recommend considering it as an option to help you weather the storm.
Kind Regards
Ps - don't know how you would have looked at whats on our books, but we've 40+ on at the moment (that's the problem!
:-)

Spanish Gentleman, The Throbbing Heart of The Worlds Greatest City says...
2:00pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Harvey G wrote:
I sold almost 2 years ago after making a few quid. I'm now renting, and watching you all stick your heads in the sand. I'm waiting at least 2 more years to get back in. Should bag a tidy bargain eh?
Yes but you live in Leamington Spa mate. hardly what you'd call a result.


Did you blow all your So Solid Crew money?

Richard, Brighton says...
2:11pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Advice: don't be lured into investing too early into a falling housing market.

History shows us that housing market crashes raley take place overnight.

The Japanese and Germany housing market have been falling in real terms for over a decade.

Waiting for the market to bottom and then buying will create the real winners. Spread the word it'll be quite a few years yet!

PS Does anbody know how to bet on falling house prices?

Knight Rider, brighton says...
2:11pm Thu 24 Jan 08

It's make your mind up time Mr Editor! Only a few weeks ago your front page ran a story citing dramatic price Increases over the next few years! What's it to be?

Best Argus post ever 'Scotch a holic', Simply send £20 via Paypal says...
2:13pm Thu 24 Jan 08

I have to say I'm amazed I read the Bet scam post and got a winning Nap on Honour High at 17/2 did anyone else back it?

I'm sending the £20 required for the next one to skyriderhater@hotmai

l.co.uk.

Easy!

Mark The Tenant, Hove says...
2:14pm Thu 24 Jan 08

MrT wrote:
I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips.
Oh dear you just cant help yourself can you, I suppose that just the honest EA in you, on one hand you say you dont know what will happen and then come out with the above jem of a quote. You keep holding out for those rich Londinium investors ( who would jump at the chance of investing in a depreciating asset and lose money.../rolls eyes), this reminds me of those Hya
quote
cinth Buckets that notice prices falling around them but then say "but my street/road/area is different/special.."
I can't afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords
And you dont see anything remotely wrong with not being able to buy at a fair price in your area for all your hard work at all?? Well at least you get nice cards from the indebted which is nice of them, I have to wonder what the content of those cards will be next year though.
Of course I mind not being able to buy. it's rubbish, everything is too expensive and I can't really be bothered chasing it all till i'm retired.
But my point remains, this is a poorly researched article with little substance, my comment regarding london buyers is merely a musing in response to the articles main point, which is that Brighton and hove will be more affected than the rest of the country. Just logically we have an element of extra trade that many areas don't, so while I'm sure there could or will be trouboe ahead, I'm not convinced by this flimsy article that we are living in a particular danger zone. That said I don't know that we're not, I'm just saying this article doesn't inform in any way. It has no substance.

The cards next year will say, dear Mark thanks for helping make a stressful and confusing process a little easier, I wish all estate agents were like you. your brill. And then it'll probably have some kisses, and maybe a box of roses, or maybe some snacker jacks.

John, Shoreham says...
2:16pm Thu 24 Jan 08

http://www.wheelerse
stateagents.co.uk/pr
operty-search/proper
ty-details/?m_proper
ty_propertyID=1006

OMG A QUARTER OF A MILLION POUNDS FOR THAT????

cash buyers only too, does it have some serious problems?

And some people say we're not at the top of a bubble.

HAHAHAHA

Spanish Gentleman, Nose Pressed Up Against Fox & Sons Windows While London Trendies Host Dinner Parties in Their Hanover Artisan Dwelling says...
2:18pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Richard wrote:
Advice: don't be lured into investing too early into a falling housing market. History shows us that housing market crashes raley take place overnight. The Japanese and Germany housing market have been falling in real terms for over a decade. Waiting for the market to bottom and then buying will create the real winners. Spread the word it'll be quite a few years yet! PS Does anbody know how to bet on falling house prices?
Advice: Write like Richard and come across as an utterly unqualified but quite arrogant idiot.

Rooneyo, Brighton says...
2:18pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Momma Cherri bought a "Big House" - and look what happened to her!!!

Nuff said innit.


Matt ODonnell, London says...
2:20pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Richard wrote:
Advice: don't be lured into investing too early into a falling housing market.

History shows us that housing market crashes raley take place overnight.

The Japanese and Germany housing market have been falling in real terms for over a decade.

Waiting for the market to bottom and then buying will create the real winners. Spread the word it'll be quite a few years yet!

PS Does anbody know how to bet on falling house prices?
Betting on house prices:

www.igindex.co.uk

Be warned, you can make or lose money extremely quickly using this site!

Spanish Gentleman, Tut tut tut says...
2:24pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Some more number crunching.

Posts on Appeal For Blood Donors - 7

Posts on House Prices - 164

Silly silly people.

Leon, Brighton says...
2:25pm Thu 24 Jan 08

James wrote:
This is not scare mongering it is the truth. For the last 10 years idiots have been saying property is a good investment or can replace a pension. Property will sink at least 50% in the next 3 years.
In my opinion labeling people who have made millions from the housing market in the past years as idiots is in itself a rather idiotic view. I cant really comment on your prediction of the housing market dropping by 50% in the next 3 years as you are obviously a property financial advisor and I am not, however looking back at the market trends in the past 50 years there have been constant rise and falls but overall prices shall continue to grow in the long term.DONT BE SCAREMONGERED BY THE PRESS, lets not forget we are all supposed to be dying from bird flu this year according to them

jamie, oxford says...
2:26pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Mark the Letting Agent wrote:
jamie wrote:
Mark the Estate Agent wrote: Whether you agree with the opinion (and it is purely opinion) of Miles or not, you have to admit that this article is woolley best. There is quite literally no reference to specific sources or any real sign of research any where within this article. It reads as though Miles has decided the story he wants to write then vaguely inserted quotes from anonymous sources. I mean it\'s not exactly a dispatches expose is it? He even seems to become a bit bored half way through and just rambles about the implications of a small estate agent closing for the remainder of the article. How much have the prices risen in the last decade Miles? How does that compare the the national average? Are there any historical market trends that indicate that the risk of a price crash is higher? To be honest I don\'t know what is going to happen.I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips. But as I said I don\'t know, and neither does Miles, But I have scrawled my ill founded opinion accross the Argus. Please make more of an effort next time. PS a note to all the very vocal haters of estate agents. I can\'t afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords. So back off PPS Loved the use of the word \'appear\' twice in one sentance . Genius.
Mark, you clearly are a \'head in the sand\' type, or the blight hasn\'t got down to you yet? The London buyers you talk of will dry up rapidly now if they haven\'t already and you should not see that as Brighton\'s cash-cow - it\'s ruined our area. I am an agent on the border of bucks and oxon and we are struggling. That\'s an understatement - we\'re dying. Buyers expect at least 10% off the asking price even if a property has already been reduced; and who can blame them really? And then even with that, some back out just before exchange because they feel insecure about what the market is doing and want an even better deal. I am actually sick of trying to talk this up and don\'t want to mislead buyers...for me this this just a job and I\'m not going to tell people untruths. You must know as an agent that this thing hasn\'t bottomed out yet and there are no bargains to be had. There will be; but that could be a year away, or even longer. Who knows? I note that you have very few properties on your books and most are of low value or sold - you must be worried. Hope it works out for you.
Good points, sorry to hear things are so tough at the moment, we aren't feeling it so badly here, but as you say it may be coming. I don't refute there is a downturn in the market but I don't think you, I or Miles can reliably announce an imminent crash. Is there a possibility that perhaps there is still some serious adjusting for Vendors to do in terms of what they will accept? Owners are having a hard time accepting that what they consider a reduction isn't enough. there is a real differences between some of the prices achieved at the peak last year and what are achievable now, it's hard to swallow but buyers know it and Vendors slow to give up 'trying' for that little extra. Hence why during this adjustment period, agents are struggling to tie things up, there is a gap between the twos percieved values, buyers are undervaluing a litte and Vendors (and agents) are overvaluing still. I just mean perhaps reporting slightly less sensationally and little more factually would perhaps alert Vendors they need to lower their expectations whilst not scaring the wits out of Joe Public to the point that we panic ourselves into a crash. BUT AS I SAID I don't don't for sure either way. My reason for writing was due to the real lack of Substance in an article of this type. Just as a word of advise, I have moved back into the lettings market recently and woudl recommend considering it as an option to help you weather the storm. Kind Regards Ps - don't know how you would have looked at whats on our books, but we've 40+ on at the moment (that's the problem! :-)
Mark, sorry maybe I was being abit pompous about your stock. I work for big ***k-off agents and just a quick look was so different from what we have to deal with. Anyway, desk tidying and a couple of viewings today isn't going to keep this place going! or all the cars in our carpark! You are right about lettings though; some of our shrewder clints are totally out of property now, renting, and sitting pretty waitng for the 'bottom' to come whenever that may be. I reckon about 18 months from now in this area but who knows?

Honour High napped, at 11:23am says...
2:28pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Spanish Gentleman wrote:
Some more number crunching. Posts on Appeal For Blood Donors - 7 Posts on House Prices - 164 Silly silly people.
Winning Nap given at 11:23 am

Honour High @17/2 only 14 comments.


Silly Silly

Andrew, Walthamstow says...
2:30pm Thu 24 Jan 08

HE he. Anyone who fell for the cr** way back when this rag was ramping prices and have bought in say over the last three years are going into negative equity. Now the paper is reversed it's opinion all hell breaks loose. Talk about vested interests. At least you can help the recycling efforts when you need to sleep in that cardboard box.

Richard, Brighton says...
2:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Haven't Spanish properties already seen a crash?

james, Bath says...
2:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08

The article may not be well written... however it is very wise indeed . Frankly you homeowners have already left it too late to bail out. What goes up, then comes down. What goes up comes a long way down further. Risk is currently very high, so sensible people will rent and let a landlord take that risk. History teaches us that profits are currently in bullion and losses are in property. Some of the commentators to this article need to open your eyes, smell the cheese, and learn from the past.

george, aylesbury says...
2:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Spanish Gentleman wrote:
Some more number crunching. Posts on Appeal For Blood Donors - 7 Posts on House Prices - 164 Silly silly people.
but people's banks want blood as well!

Spanish Gentleman, Whirr Clunk Kerpow The Pigeon says...
2:33pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Honour High napped wrote:
Spanish Gentleman wrote: Some more number crunching. Posts on Appeal For Blood Donors - 7 Posts on House Prices - 164 Silly silly people.
Winning Nap given at 11:23 am Honour High @17/2 only 14 comments. Silly Silly
More to the point

Posts on Mental Health Unit Closes Over Safety Fears - 0

Spanish Gentleman, says...
2:35pm Thu 24 Jan 08

george wrote:
Spanish Gentleman wrote: Some more number crunching. Posts on Appeal For Blood Donors - 7 Posts on House Prices - 164 Silly silly people.
but people's banks want blood as well!
Some people could not give an Aylesbury Duck about anything else but their personal finances it appears, eh George.

graham, hove says...
2:35pm Thu 24 Jan 08

As a hmoeowner am I bailing out? nope. I need my house to LIVE in thanks, and so do my kids and not to mention the missus; its what houses are there for, just in case we've all forgotten.

george, aylesbury says...
2:37pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Spanish Gentleman wrote:
george wrote:
Spanish Gentleman wrote: Some more number crunching. Posts on Appeal For Blood Donors - 7 Posts on House Prices - 164 Silly silly people.
but people's banks want blood as well!
Some people could not give an Aylesbury Duck about anything else but their personal finances it appears, eh George.
quite
exactly my point

Chris, Brighton says...
2:41pm Thu 24 Jan 08

I love Brighton. It is a nice town, sorry City, down on the coast. It is however not London. The commute to London is a nightmare (many people try it and move back to London after a couple of years). You only have to look at the Argus jobs pages on a thursday to see that it is a "low wage" economy. Sooner or later prices will have to drop. My guess, for what its worth is we will see 20 to 30 % off within 18 moths

Spanish Gentleman, Round Nick H's shooting peasants says...
2:41pm Thu 24 Jan 08

graham wrote:
As a hmoeowner am I bailing out? nope. I need my house to LIVE in thanks, and so do my kids and not to mention the missus; its what houses are there for, just in case we've all forgotten.
Spot on Graham the only sensible post on this entire thread. Well said.

Mr Lee, Portsmouth says...
2:49pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Have you ever seen so many responses to a news article? It just goes to show how emotive the whole house price subject is. What is very clear from reading these posts is the amount of people that are just point blankly refusing to admit that there is anything wrong with the economic mess that Old Brown Nose has gotten us into. Perhaps, quite understandably they want to protect their investments and think that by ignoring the current and very obvious slow down they are somehow going to prevent it. There are also a lot of posts from people that are patiently waiting for a slow down or drop in house prices. These people are not bitter, or desperate or doom mongers, they are simply hard working people that have been priced out of the market by the ridiculous and unstoppable rise in house prices and they just want the chance to put a roof over their head or a place to call their own. It seems that investors, developers and the thousands of buy to letters are convinced that there is a finite amount of money in this country and that prices can and will continue to go up and up and up. How is this supposed to happen when 70% of this countries working population are on salaries or pay that is below £18,000 per year? The same excuses are trotted out time and time again, like supply and demand. If that’s the case, why are there thousands of flats and city centre apartments sitting empty in places like London, Birmingham, Liverpool and Manchester? Properties that the sellers have openly claimed they have been unable to sell. Just down the road from us here is a block of new build flats that have been empty for over a year. Is it because there are no buyers or because they cost £200,000 for a show box that you couldn’t swing a cat in? I think what is clear from the current situation, is that a slow down is happening, the BOE have based our entire economy on house prices, which are no starting to falter. Whether anyone likes it or not, the government are grabbing at straws and trying desperately to prop up the miracle economy that they have created through over borrowing and selling our entire manufacturing base and industry down the river. If house prices go down, so does the economy. That’s not a very pleasant prospect, but it does need to happen to bring the cost of living and real earning back in line. This country has been driven forward by ten years of utter greed and materialism and now it’s coming back to bite us on the backside. Some people deserve that for playing their part in the and other will be caught in the crossfire, I for one saw it coming ages ago and made my provisions – I’m just going to sit back and watch Rome burn!

Spanish Gentleman, says...
2:50pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Richard wrote:
Haven't Spanish properties already seen a crash?
zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
zzz

Spanish Gentleman, says...
2:52pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Mr Lee wrote:
Have you ever seen so many responses to a news article? It just goes to show how emotive the whole house price subject is. What is very clear from reading these posts is the amount of people that are just point blankly refusing to admit that there is anything wrong with the economic mess that Old Brown Nose has gotten us into. Perhaps, quite understandably they want to protect their investments and think that by ignoring the current and very obvious slow down they are somehow going to prevent it. There are also a lot of posts from people that are patiently waiting for a slow down or drop in house prices. These people are not bitter, or desperate or doom mongers, they are simply hard working people that have been priced out of the market by the ridiculous and unstoppable rise in house prices and they just want the chance to put a roof over their head or a place to call their own. It seems that investors, developers and the thousands of buy to letters are convinced that there is a finite amount of money in this country and that prices can and will continue to go up and up and up. How is this supposed to happen when 70% of this countries working population are on salaries or pay that is below £18,000 per year? The same excuses are trotted out time and time again, like supply and demand. If that’s the case, why are there thousands of flats and city centre apartments sitting empty in places like London, Birmingham, Liverpool and Manchester? Properties that the sellers have openly claimed they have been unable to sell. Just down the road from us here is a block of new build flats that have been empty for over a year. Is it because there are no buyers or because they cost £200,000 for a show box that you couldn’t swing a cat in? I think what is clear from the current situation, is that a slow down is happening, the BOE have based our entire economy on house prices, which are no starting to falter. Whether anyone likes it or not, the government are grabbing at straws and trying desperately to prop up the miracle economy that they have created through over borrowing and selling our entire manufacturing base and industry down the river. If house prices go down, so does the economy. That’s not a very pleasant prospect, but it does need to happen to bring the cost of living and real earning back in line. This country has been driven forward by ten years of utter greed and materialism and now it’s coming back to bite us on the backside. Some people deserve that for playing their part in the and other will be caught in the crossfire, I for one saw it coming ages ago and made my provisions – I’m just going to sit back and watch Rome burn!
You were doing so well until

I for one saw it coming ages ago and made my provisions – I’m just going to sit back and watch Rome burn!

and now you come across as big as small minded petty selfish snide as most people on here.

No, Way says...
2:53pm Thu 24 Jan 08

dc wrote:
well this story does nothing to help the hundreds of estate agent businesses across sussex trying to stay afloat.
don't get me wrong, i am no fan of estate agents, but this scaremongering story is totally unjustified and wrong with no actual fact behind it.
This kind of talk helps no-one, yes things are bleak, but there are positives to come aswell.
too many estate agent any way. getting rid of a few might teach them a lesson in hiking up house prices and charging extortionate fees for lettings.

soap box, brighton says...
2:54pm Thu 24 Jan 08

another reason not to buy this sloppy rag full of misinformation, written by tired out has-beens. yawn yawn yawn

Sara Guppy, Brighton says...
2:55pm Thu 24 Jan 08

The most irresponsible piece of journalism I've read in a long time. Well done Argus.

Spanish Gentleman, says...
3:01pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Sara Guppy wrote:
The most irresponsible piece of journalism I've read in a long time. Well done Argus.
Sara you are obviously mortgaged to the hilt and very nervous. I would say that campaigning to bring a very probably terrorist to live in Saltdean is far more irresponsible. I would rather have negative equity than be maimed blinded or have my loved ones killed.

Just shows how small minded and selfish we all are this thread doesn't it.

Anon, Hove says...
3:09pm Thu 24 Jan 08

My girlfriend and I bought a studio flat last year. Thanks to the fact that I had lived there for many, many years, purchased it at a discounted price. However, we cannot afford to have a family (something we would both dearly love), as we cannot afford to move to a larger property. Without wishing anyone any bad luck, this may, just may give us a fighting chance to have something that previous generations were more able to have, i.e. a child. We are not greedy nor wanting a property as an investment, merely a home in which to grow old together, nothing more.

Stevie Dee, Nottingham says...
3:10pm Thu 24 Jan 08

How hilarious:

"PS a note to all the very vocal haters of estate agents. I can't afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords. So back off". I was thinking two things, how many cards did he write himself? Secondly, how many will he receive next christmas?

A home is a home, and sometimes it needs a bad situation to correct the collective mind. When the dust finally settles, I'm sure it will take more than 20 years this time for people to forget. All will be effected, traumatised, etc, but after which will come healing and renewal. The person (an american broker) who was famed for saying "greed is good", was eventually jailed for fraud. The Labour government carried the baton vis-a-vis Buy to Letting from the Conservatives in 1997, yes the "champagne socialists" with no real inventiveness, but to run with other peoples idea's, unfortunately with BTL, they opened Pandora's Box

Mr Lee, Portsmouth says...
3:14pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Spanish Gentleman wrote:
Mr Lee wrote: Have you ever seen so many responses to a news article? It just goes to show how emotive the whole house price subject is. What is very clear from reading these posts is the amount of people that are just point blankly refusing to admit that there is anything wrong with the economic mess that Old Brown Nose has gotten us into. Perhaps, quite understandably they want to protect their investments and think that by ignoring the current and very obvious slow down they are somehow going to prevent it. There are also a lot of posts from people that are patiently waiting for a slow down or drop in house prices. These people are not bitter, or desperate or doom mongers, they are simply hard working people that have been priced out of the market by the ridiculous and unstoppable rise in house prices and they just want the chance to put a roof over their head or a place to call their own. It seems that investors, developers and the thousands of buy to letters are convinced that there is a finite amount of money in this country and that prices can and will continue to go up and up and up. How is this supposed to happen when 70% of this countries working population are on salaries or pay that is below £18,000 per year? The same excuses are trotted out time and time again, like supply and demand. If that’s the case, why are there thousands of flats and city centre apartments sitting empty in places like London, Birmingham, Liverpool and Manchester? Properties that the sellers have openly claimed they have been unable to sell. Just down the road from us here is a block of new build flats that have been empty for over a year. Is it because there are no buyers or because they cost £200,000 for a show box that you couldn’t swing a cat in? I think what is clear from the current situation, is that a slow down is happening, the BOE have based our entire economy on house prices, which are no starting to falter. Whether anyone likes it or not, the government are grabbing at straws and trying desperately to prop up the miracle economy that they have created through over borrowing and selling our entire manufacturing base and industry down the river. If house prices go down, so does the economy. That’s not a very pleasant prospect, but it does need to happen to bring the cost of living and real earning back in line. This country has been driven forward by ten years of utter greed and materialism and now it’s coming back to bite us on the backside. Some people deserve that for playing their part in the and other will be caught in the crossfire, I for one saw it coming ages ago and made my provisions – I’m just going to sit back and watch Rome burn!
You were doing so well until I for one saw it coming ages ago and made my provisions – I’m just going to sit back and watch Rome burn! and now you come across as big as small minded petty selfish snide as most people on here.
Not really, I just decide not to jump on the housing bandwagon. I am still saving for a deposit and hopefully will get the chance to buy when the time is right. I have waited years to get a foot on the ladder, but have ended up playing catch up because every time I save enough for a deposit the prices have gone up out of my reach again. I do hope that thousands of people get the chance to start a life for themselves by getting the chance to buy their first home. I'm not going to shed a single tear for all the greedy and self interested investors, and estate agents that caused this situation in the first place, with no regard to the affect they were having on anyone else. They have been driven purely by huge commission cheques. If that makes me small minded and petty - then I'm guilty as charged.

Glen, Onamission says...
3:17pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Anyone want a Bentley.....fleet of mini's....? What about a 5 bed in Woodland Drive...? All going cheap...

MJS, London says...
3:26pm Thu 24 Jan 08

richboy wrote:
I sold up in london and I've bought 10 flats in brighton 1 year ago. I'm not really that bothered if prices plunge as I'll just buy some more flats as I'm in it for the long haul.
Ha, Ha,

Then you've got more money than sense. Crash Gordon's appetite for TAX is insatiable and he will be gunning for BTLers next, prepare for big losses and unemployed scumbags not paying the rent for the privalage or wrecking your investments, whilst your capital gains go into reverse. I hope you own them outright cos the banks will want a piece of the pie too.

Tom, Brighton says...
3:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Have to agree with this article, when wages get so far removed from house prices that well paid people can't afford a modest house something is wrong. Buying a house is not a pyramid money making scheme and that's what it has become.When you buy a house no one gives you a guarantee that your house will go up but in the last few years this is what the vast majority of people seem to think.I saw the last crash and right now we are showing all the hallmarks of another. The funny thing is the vast majority of us will be much better off with lower house prices, afterall what would you rather pay off £175,000 or £300,000? Just think you might actually be able to buy a house that your whole family can fit into!

hove voice, says...
3:35pm Thu 24 Jan 08

junk journalism

based on a nod and a wink, speculation, and has no factual basis.

the argus is a joke, I'll only read this tripe online...never waste money on bying the rubbish


Steve, York says...
3:43pm Thu 24 Jan 08

As someone who'd like to move to Brighton, I'd like to see properties crash there. However not where I'm living! Haven't a lot of Brighton properties been bought without mortgages by Londoners with city bonuses? If so, these people will not need to sell and this will contribute to keeping prices high.

Felix, Sussex says...
3:47pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Estate Agent- " Sir I might be able to get you, my client £300k for your house."

Homeowner - "No thank you. I'd like to try £315k as my house is better than my neighbours which sold for £300k"

So who really sets the prices? Owners or those paid by them to market the property?

John, Hove says...
3:50pm Thu 24 Jan 08

But Hove Voice it's not Junk, only you think it is becaue you obviously want high house prices. The Argus is not the only paper saying this it's reported everywhere, this house price increase can not go on, it is not economically possible! What about the fact that this paper has been ramping house prices for years is that Junk? or did that just suit your situation?

Vicky, London says...
3:50pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Dave wrote:
Estate agents have a lot to answer for in this. They have been pushing up house prices for as long as I can remeber to fund their own lifestyles with not a second thought about how they are effecting the economy. I have been saying for a while that, Estate agents should be banned from charging a percentage and only be allowed to charge flat transaction fees, this would remove any gain for them in pushing up prices to keep their convertible Audi or Bimma on the road.
Classic!! This is not about Estate Agents this is about banks irresponsible lending, house prices are only worth what people can pay. Banks in their wisdom decided that multiples of x 5 your earnings is reasonable, self cert mortgages were purposly aimed at lower earners to enable them borrow excessively. The market is held up not by lark of supply but by HUGE credit. The credit crunch was a beast waiting to happen

brenda, brighton says...
3:51pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Anon wrote:
My girlfriend and I bought a studio flat last year. Thanks to the fact that I had lived there for many, many years, purchased it at a discounted price. However, we cannot afford to have a family (something we would both dearly love), as we cannot afford to move to a larger property. Without wishing anyone any bad luck, this may, just may give us a fighting chance to have something that previous generations were more able to have, i.e. a child. We are not greedy nor wanting a property as an investment, merely a home in which to grow old together, nothing more.
Anon
At least be grateful you have managed to get a foot on the ladder.

Anon, Hove says...
4:07pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Brenda, we are grateful, but we didn't think we would be stuck in a glorified bedsit for the forseeable future. We both work hard for a reasonable wage (although nowhere near enough to improve our situation) and we are both in our late 30's. Time is running out for us to have and raise a child and other than move to somewhere away from our jobs, family and friend we are pretty well stuffed. If this crash happens, we might be able to move forward a little. As I stated earlier, we just want a proper home.

Cash is King, Hove says...
4:22pm Thu 24 Jan 08

brenda wrote:
Anon wrote: My girlfriend and I bought a studio flat last year. Thanks to the fact that I had lived there for many, many years, purchased it at a discounted price. However, we cannot afford to have a family (something we would both dearly love), as we cannot afford to move to a larger property. Without wishing anyone any bad luck, this may, just may give us a fighting chance to have something that previous generations were more able to have, i.e. a child. We are not greedy nor wanting a property as an investment, merely a home in which to grow old together, nothing more.
Anon At least be grateful you have managed to get a foot on the ladder.
You moron. Grateful to be on the ladder indeed. You've been watching too much of Krusty and Phil.
How can any couple on average earnings cope with a 200K mortgage debt. What sort of quality of life is there. Just to buy the smaller than average box down here.

Numberwang, Brighton says...
4:25pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Forget the "expert's" sums, if you take a conservative estimate that Sussex house prices have fallen 3% in last quarter , with average prices in the county at £250k, that makes for £3.7 billion wiped of the Sussex market in just 12 weeks!

Matt ODonnell, London says...
4:30pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Anon wrote:
Brenda, we are grateful, but we didn't think we would be stuck in a glorified bedsit for the forseeable future. We both work hard for a reasonable wage (although nowhere near enough to improve our situation) and we are both in our late 30's. Time is running out for us to have and raise a child and other than move to somewhere away from our jobs, family and friend we are pretty well stuffed. If this crash happens, we might be able to move forward a little. As I stated earlier, we just want a proper home.
Very sad that working couples are seriously thinking about whether they can afford children (whilst those on benefits don't seem to be having any trouble).

This just shows the real damage caused by high house prices.

Lucky7, Brighton says...
4:36pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Anon, decide what you want the most. If it's a family rent your studio out, and with the balance from the mortgage (you said you paid relatively little for it) plus your normal mortgage payment you should be able to rent a two bedder (&800/850 less for one and a half), then when prices fall and borrowing easier either strip equity out of studio (and keep as investment) to put down on a new purchase or sell studio and do same. Think around the problem to do what is important to fulfill your life, not be trapped by it.

Born in Hove!!,, HOVE says...
4:47pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Just reading all the quotes, and would like to know how many people are pure Brightonions,?? Went to school in Brighton?? and now work in Brighton??, Bringing up kids in Brighton??....Maybe im wrong but the ones who keep calling people names are you from here??, as any Brightonions know we cant afford to buy in our own home town anymore...it would be really nice that we could afford it!! So bring it on!!!....And then Maybe the rent prices will come down aswell!!! And our Football team will get full support from true Brightonions who will be able to afford to live back in BRIGHTON!!!

Paul, Brighton says...
4:49pm Thu 24 Jan 08

I dont think the media is going to be happy until there is a economic disaster. If you keep an eye on the headlines on certain papers house prices are up and down more often than Paris Hiltons underwear. These media headlines are pushing for everyone to get nervous and hold back on spending. There is not alot happening in the news really and this gets everyones attention. Newspapers sell and viewing figures up. If you are affected by such hype i would avoid the media altogether and concentrate on your own lives.

Actually, Hove says...
4:51pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Just reading all the quotes, and would like to know how many people are pure Brightonions,?? Went to school in Brighton?? and now work in Brighton??, Bringing up kids in Brighton??....Maybe im wrong but the ones who keep calling people names are you from here??, as any Brightonions know we cant afford to buy in our own home town anymore...it would be really nice that we could afford it!! So bring it on!!!....And then Maybe the rent prices will come down aswell!!! And our Football team will get full support from true Brightonions who will be able to afford to live back in BRIGHTON!!!

Er....Brightonian? You're home town is Hove, by your own admission. Fool!

lulu, says...
4:56pm Thu 24 Jan 08

I want to thank tha argus for printing this.I have been looking for a house in Brighton since August and have seen steady falls but since xmas all the agents have been extremely willing to do viewings and my phone never stops ringing.We need to buy for personal reasons although the house we saw today which was 250k and virtually needed rebuilt coupled with this headline ahs convinced us to stay put in rented a bit longer.Bring it on I say everyone needs a HOME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
!

Anon, Hove says...
5:02pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Lucky7 wrote:
Anon, decide what you want the most. If it\'s a family rent your studio out, and with the balance from the mortgage (you said you paid relatively little for it) plus your normal mortgage payment you should be able to rent a two bedder (&800/850 less for one and a half), then when prices fall and borrowing easier either strip equity out of studio (and keep as investment) to put down on a new purchase or sell studio and do same. Think around the problem to do what is important to fulfill your life, not be trapped by it.
Lucky7. To rent it out we would have to cover a mortgage repayment of £500 a month. We would be lucky to receive that much in rent, would we not? Then you suggest we pay 800/850 a month to rent a larger flat. How is that really going to help us? I thank you for your input, but I really don't think the sums add up. Bear in mind also, that if we went ahead and had a child, we would be relying on one wage only for some time. Anyone else have any suggestions please?

Born in Hove!!,, Hove says...
5:05pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Actually wrote:
Just reading all the quotes, and would like to know how many people are pure Brightonions,?? Went to school in Brighton?? and now work in Brighton??, Bringing up kids in Brighton??....Maybe im wrong but the ones who keep calling people names are you from here??, as any Brightonions know we cant afford to buy in our own home town anymore...it would be really nice that we could afford it!! So bring it on!!!....And then Maybe the rent prices will come down aswell!!! And our Football team will get full support from true Brightonions who will be able to afford to live back in BRIGHTON!!!
Er....Brightonian? You\'re home town is Hove, by your own admission. Fool!
See..... its Brighton & hove now... we are a CITY!!!!...your the fool!!!!!!!!!!

Flat Foot Soozie, Brunswick Square says...
5:07pm Thu 24 Jan 08

If nobody moves, then homes are scarce, and prices keep up - but, of course, there is then nothing for the Argus to get in weekly advertising supplement...

Could this be behind this thin story?

Lucky7, Brighton says...
5:08pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Sorry, Anon, It just worked for us. Also remember if you lose a wage and have a child tax credits can sometimes help, short time....good luck..

Actually, Hove says...
5:16pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Born in, you're the one calling it a "town" and demanding no-one else can live here...now, deep breath and...... embrace.

Steve, Brighton says...
5:16pm Thu 24 Jan 08

How depressing ! Petrol on the up, food prices increasding, house prices crashing and guess what onion prices are going up ! What is this country coming to. This would probably be the perfect time to move to another country.

Jim, Hove says...
5:18pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Anon wrote:
Lucky7 wrote: Anon, decide what you want the most. If it\'s a family rent your studio out, and with the balance from the mortgage (you said you paid relatively little for it) plus your normal mortgage payment you should be able to rent a two bedder (&800/850 less for one and a half), then when prices fall and borrowing easier either strip equity out of studio (and keep as investment) to put down on a new purchase or sell studio and do same. Think around the problem to do what is important to fulfill your life, not be trapped by it.
Lucky7. To rent it out we would have to cover a mortgage repayment of £500 a month. We would be lucky to receive that much in rent, would we not? Then you suggest we pay 800/850 a month to rent a larger flat. How is that really going to help us? I thank you for your input, but I really don't think the sums add up. Bear in mind also, that if we went ahead and had a child, we would be relying on one wage only for some time. Anyone else have any suggestions please?
Sounds like you need a better mortgage deal for a start. I would be interested to know what you paid for it but there must be captial there. Would you not consider refinancing it or selling to get a better deposit and look just outside of the town for a larger place? When I sold two years ago I bought in a small village near Brighton and got a large two bed house for the same money as a poor 2 bed flat in Brighton. The capital growth there has been significantly better and its a nice environment for kids, whilst still being easily accessible to town. My partner and I work in B&H.

Lettting it if there is enough capital there could be a way forward still as there are tax perks and a decent studio can fetch £575 PCM all year round. It keeps an investment in town even if you were only to rent elsewhere. By switching the mortgage you can make expenditure on the flat tax deductable and also any professional fees. It can work but you need a good financial advisor and a decent letting agent to talk you through it. Good luck


Anon, Hove says...
5:35pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Jim. We paid 80k for it and have a repayment mortgage with the Abbey. We would really like to stay in the area ( I AM born and bred here). Surely travel costs have to be taken into consideration too? So many people have said to us "just go ahead and put yourselves on the council list", but we don't want to go down that road. Also, if the value of properties falls dramatically, so will ours and we are then stuck in rented accommodation and all it's related problems (short leases, rent increases etc ). Perhaps we should see an advisor, but who to go to for fair advice?

Brighthelmstone, Brighton says...
5:38pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Born & bred, just bought a place. Hopefully interest rates won't soar, and I can see it out if it does go belly up. Am I a fool? I'm just your average Joe.

Jim, Hove says...
5:43pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Anon wrote:
Jim. We paid 80k for it and have a repayment mortgage with the Abbey. We would really like to stay in the area ( I AM born and bred here). Surely travel costs have to be taken into consideration too? So many people have said to us "just go ahead and put yourselves on the council list", but we don't want to go down that road. Also, if the value of properties falls dramatically, so will ours and we are then stuck in rented accommodation and all it's related problems (short leases, rent increases etc ). Perhaps we should see an advisor, but who to go to for fair advice?
if you e-mail me I will give you a number of someone I trust that could help give you an idea to help free up some of the capital etc etc. I won't just put it straight on here but use by spam e-mail acct at bigbadjimmy@lycos.co
uk

Ben Wheeler, Brighton says...
5:46pm Thu 24 Jan 08

The perfect economic storm is finally breaking, and in the world of money it will be hurricane force!

At the end of the day the banks are in the process of bringing about the crash themselves, as due to rising repossessions they are starting to restrict lending, on mortgages, which will directly contribute to property price falls as people will not get a mortgage large enough to pay the asking price, and just as importantly? unsecured borrowing, which will lead to cutbacks in spending on the high street, and therefore rising unemployment!

Most of the Eastern European immigrants have saved up the money the came to earn and are returning home, which will lead to a rise in empty Buy-to-Lets, These will not be filled by people on benefits as is often been claimed! Why? Well Brussels has now stepped in and ordered the UK government to reduce its budget deficit to below 3% of GDP, as is legally required under European law, Its currently about 3.6% in a year of record tax receipts, so the cuts in spending will be colossal!

On top of all this, The government and the Bank of England decided they did not have to take into account property prices and rents when working out inflation, something which both parties are aware has gone horribly wrong, and it is this that left the UK in the dangerous financial position it is now in!

Many people have quite rightly pointed out that a house price crash could in itself lead to a recession, but thanks to the above mistake by the The government and Bank of England, we have been through a ten year boom on debt as people have used their homes as cash machines to by cheep imports with an over valued pound, at the cost of a million manufacturing jobs lost in the UK!

When the crash comes this time, not only will the property prices hit the rocks, the value of the Pound will follow as we have nothing to sell anymore and pay our way in the world, or our debts back to it!

It won't be a repeat of the Nineties, More like the Thirties if we're not careful?

undercover agent, brighton says...
6:13pm Thu 24 Jan 08

David wrote:
Hello, Redaing through the posts there must be some estate agents on here. Those of you who are complaining about this artcile, were you complaining when the papers wrote the opposite, house prices going to rocket forever buy NOW NOW NOW ! No thought not. What goes around comes around. What estate agents must understand is the housing market has had a great bull run and that bull run has come to an end, something was going to **** it and in this instance US subprime. Cheap money, reckless lending by banks how been out of order. Losses from the bank will hurt them badly and house prices are over valued by 35%. They will fall back to 2002 levels. So stop complaining and expect the worst because, debt, cheap free money has gone for for quite some time now.
David, i think you are a rather mis educated idiot.

The fall in prices makes no difference to estate agents as they just fix the fees they charge. in a harder marketplace agents will charge more for the work they do. the only loser again is the homeowner. may i also point out that in europe, agents charge on average 5%.

with the price issue, its a real shame that the argus is cheaply selling papers by reporting these silly headlines, they help no-one.

The marketplace in brighton and indeed the country will be harder (in comparison) to 2007 however will not be as bad as the media forcasts. If you read what actual property experts believe the story is very different. people who over value property will go out of business. people who try and sell for too high a price will not sell. those who price correctly will sell. its what should be considered a normal market. whatever industry you are in, if you sell a product you have to get the price right, if you dont, it wont sell, its that simple.

as a final thought, britain is not getting any bigger however due to the labour government opening up the flood gates, every day more and more people pile into the country. Mr Brown is even needing to build 3 million new homes to ease the housing crisis!

if you want to find out the real state of the property market, look for an estate agent who is a member of the national association of estate agents.

the know it all idiots are just that, idiots ...

mark, cheshire says...
6:16pm Thu 24 Jan 08

dc wrote:
well this story does nothing to help the hundreds of estate agent businesses across sussex trying to stay afloat.
don't get me wrong, i am no fan of estate agents, but this scaremongering story is totally unjustified and wrong with no actual fact behind it.
This kind of talk helps no-one, yes things are bleak, but there are positives to come aswell.
yet this is the truth, would you be happy if papers were still saying prices are going up and agents milking you for all the money they can get...

what goes up comes down... simple...

Bored, of FFS and her inane comments says...
6:20pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Flat Foot Soozie wrote:
If nobody moves, then homes are scarce, and prices keep up - but, of course, there is then nothing for the Argus to get in weekly advertising supplement... Could this be behind this thin story?
Give it up woman fer chrissakes.
You win the award for the most pointless post on this topic today. Better get yourself a bigger display cabinet 'cause you just keep winning and winning.

Gavin, freater London says...
6:29pm Thu 24 Jan 08

phil wrote:
We will not be satisfied until we talk ourselves into trouble. It is stories like this that do nothing to help the situation but just put fear in place. The meltdown anticipated above is pure exaggeration and based on very little fact.
Phil I'm glad newspapers are talking about it. Maybe if they talked about it a couple of years ago we wouldn't have such a massive housing bubble. The sooner it crashes the better as the longer it went on the more harm it would do. Sorry if you can't see that houses prices are inflated when it takes 10X salary to buy them. You are in denial.

george, aylesbury says...
6:47pm Thu 24 Jan 08

http://www.moneyweek
.com/file/41171/more
-bad-news-from-the-h
ousing-market---and-
it-wont-be-the-last.
html

read the expert un-biased opinion here and you'll see that Argus has pretty much told the truth about what's actually happening rather than what most vested interests want to happen
www.moneyweek.co.uk

Hugh, Wiltshire says...
6:50pm Thu 24 Jan 08

Gordon Brown's economic miracle is a con. People feel wealthy because their home has increased in value. Well that boom is going to turn to bust so rapidly it's going to take your breath away.

GET RID OF YOUR DEBTS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.

Masterbates, Haywars Heath says...
6:56pm Thu 24 Jan 08

For those of you with your heads in the sand, prepare for a crash. 10% this year and 15% next year, with probaly more drops after that.

george, aylesbury says...
6:58pm Thu 24 Jan 08

undercover agent wrote:
David wrote: Hello, Redaing through the posts there must be some estate agents on here. Those of you who are complaining about this artcile, were you complaining when the papers wrote the opposite, house prices going to rocket forever buy NOW NOW NOW ! No thought not. What goes around comes around. What estate agents must understand is the housing market has had a great bull run and that bull run has come to an end, something was going to **** it and in this instance US subprime. Cheap money, reckless lending by banks how been out of order. Losses from the bank will hurt them badly and house prices are over valued by 35%. They will fall back to 2002 levels. So stop complaining and expect the worst because, debt, cheap free money has gone for for quite some time now.
David, i think you are a rather mis educated idiot. The fall in prices makes no difference to estate agents as they just fix the fees they charge. in a harder marketplace agents will charge more for the work they do. the only loser again is the homeowner. may i also point out that in europe, agents charge on average 5%. with the price issue, its a real shame that the argus is cheaply selling papers by reporting these silly headlines, they help no-one. The marketplace in brighton and indeed the country will be harder (in comparison) to 2007 however will not be as bad as the media forcasts. If you read what actual property experts believe the story is very different. people who over value property will go out of business. people who try and sell for too high a price will not sell. those who price correctly will sell. its what should be considered a normal market. whatever industry you are in, if you sell a product you have to get the price right, if you dont, it wont sell, its that simple. as a final thought, britain is not getting any bigger however due to the labour government opening up the flood gates, every day more and more people pile into the country. Mr Brown is even needing to build 3 million new homes to ease the housing crisis! if you want to find out the real state of the property market, look for an estate agent who is a member of the national association of estate agents. the know it all idiots are just that, idiots ...
Undercover Agent, if there is such a massive shortage off houses then where is everone who's supposed to want them? It's all part of the speculative bubble that we are in. There is no real shortage now and there be even less of one when all the polish labour drifts home having run out of work. I think you've been sucked in to the bubble mentality. So are you going out tomorrow to buy lots of property to back up your stance? Or is it just that you have some stock to UNLOAD? In my area the local builders, Barratts and the like have stopped new building starts because they can't sell them. Affordability is the key to a bouyant market and only when wages have caught up will the market return to normal. Could be a few years and the well respected Merryl at Moneyweek reckons on about five years...

John Doe, Uxbridge says...
6:59pm Thu 24 Jan 08

james wrote:
People also have a write to an investment brambo you idiot, especially as pensions are a joke..whats the matter..bitter cos you are still living with mumy and daddy..get over it!
james wrote:
People also have a write to an investment brambo you idiot, especially as pensions are a joke..whats the matter..bitter cos you are still living with mumy and daddy..get over it!


At least he can spell, Dumb A55.

Seriously though, I can't wait for a crash. It would be better for society as a whole in the long run.

Greed has its place, but not in the housing market where this misery has priced out a generation of FTB's.

That can't be right, right?

Charlie, ex Brighton says...
7:08pm Thu 24 Jan 08

GREED, GREED, GREED, GREED!!!!!!!!!
Reading some of the posts on here makes me sick, the selfish "I'm Alright Jack" attitude of some, terrified they might lose their paper profits.
I earn well above the average wage, have educated myself, and even though i have very little time left after working a 50 hour week i still manage to do a little voluntry work for a local charity, but my society would sooner reward low life spiv BTL Landlords than myself.
I just want to home my family in our own home, the times i have been awake all through the night in despair.
I swear to God(and i say this as a peacfull man with no criminal record) i along with millions of others will take to the streets.

Tel, Hove says...
7:17pm Thu 24 Jan 08

The article was rubbish but the fact remains there is going to be a correction in prices.

Firstly there is the credit crunch. Yes, the BoE will probably lower interest rates next month by .25% but this is not being passed on. In fact lenders rates are going up, to make up for the fact the LIBOR has increased, Nationwide put up their interest rates today as a perfect example.

Second is the fact that mortgages are now more expensive as a percentage of income than they were before the '90's crash so the argument that interest rates and low unemployment mean a crash won't happen is foolish.

Thirdly a property is only worth what someone believes it's worth and can afford to pay. With even the most optomistic forcasts predicting zero growth for the next year and banks pulling back from 100% & 95% mortgages what does that tell you? Even if you think a property is worth it you won't be able to borrow enough to fund it. And why do you think banks are starting to want 10% deposits? Because they do not believe price growth will happen and want to cover themselves if they need to reposess the property.

And lastly I'd like to say what an absolute disgrace it was for The Argus to allow free advertising space within an article to companies that are preying on people in desparate need, offering below market value for properties. These companies are not charities. Shame on you.

Graham, Hove says...
7:18pm Thu 24 Jan 08

WELL DONE THE ARGUS!!! Finally a story which tells the truth and which, hopefully, will discourage any potential first time buyers from making the biggest financial mistake of their lives. The message is simple - DON'T buy now. Wait at least two or three years and you'll get a much better property for half the price.

undercover agent, brighton says...
7:27pm Thu 24 Jan 08

george wrote:
undercover agent wrote:
David wrote: Hello, Redaing through the posts there must be some estate agents on here. Those of you who are complaining about this artcile, were you complaining when the papers wrote the opposite, house prices going to rocket forever buy NOW NOW NOW ! No thought not. What goes around comes around. What estate agents must understand is the housing market has had a great bull run and that bull run has come to an end, something was going to **** it and in this instance US subprime. Cheap money, reckless lending by banks how been out of order. Losses from the bank will hurt them badly and house prices are over valued by 35%. They will fall back to 2002 levels. So stop complaining and expect the worst because, debt, cheap free money has gone for for quite some time now.
David, i think you are a rather mis educated idiot. The fall in prices makes no difference to estate agents as they just fix the fees they charge. in a harder marketplace agents will charge more for the work they do. the only loser again is the homeowner. may i also point out that in europe, agents charge on average 5%. with the price issue, its a real shame that the argus is cheaply selling papers by reporting these silly headlines, they help no-one. The marketplace in brighton and indeed the country will be harder (in comparison) to 2007 however will not be as bad as the media forcasts. If you read what actual property experts believe the story is very different. people who over value property will go out of business. people who try and sell for too high a price will not sell. those who price correctly will sell. its what should be considered a normal market. whatever industry you are in, if you sell a product you have to get the price right, if you dont, it wont sell, its that simple. as a final thought, britain is not getting any bigger however due to the labour government opening up the flood gates, every day more and more people pile into the country. Mr Brown is even needing to build 3 million new homes to ease the housing crisis! if you want to find out the real state of the property market, look for an estate agent who is a member of the national association of estate agents. the know it all idiots are just that, idiots ...
Undercover Agent, if there is such a massive shortage off houses then where is everone who\'s supposed to want them? It\'s all part of the speculative bubble that we are in. There is no real shortage now and there be even less of one when all the polish labour drifts home having run out of work. I think you\'ve been sucked in to the bubble mentality. So are you going out tomorrow to buy lots of property to back up your stance? Or is it just that you have some stock to UNLOAD? In my area the lo