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6:56am Thursday 24th January 2008
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Experts are warning homeowners to get out of the property market before a massive crash wipes more than £100 million off the value of Sussex homes.
Slowing house prices and mounting worries over sub-prime mortgage lending has led industry bosses to predict that the county's property market will slump in 2008.
Thousands of tenants could also be affected as estate agents go bust, swallowing up legal fees and deposits in the process.
The cracks are already beginning to show with Farrells, the Hove based estate agent, appearing to be the latest casualty of the downturn.
A spokesman for the Estate Agent Ombudsman said: "People are being affected everywhere and estate agents are no different.
"Places like Sussex where there has been a large increase in property prices in the last decade could well be affected more than most.
"If the downturn is as dramatic as many fear then a conservative estimate would be that £100 million would be wiped from the Sussex market within a year."
One source from leading property marketing firm, TeamProp, added: "I'm telling people to get out of the market quickly and diversify their portfolios.
"A crash is going to happen."
House prices across the county have rocketed in the last decade, with hotspots such as Brighton and Hove and Chichester among the places where the highest rises have been recorded.
That sudden rise has left the county vulnerable to equally dramatic falls in values.
And while many experts say large swathes of the county will be badly affected by the slump, some believe the most in demand parts of Sussex will survive any downturn relatively unscathed.
One Mid Sussex estate agent said: "It's not as good as it used to be but it is still a good market. Most of the problem is that the papers keep going on about it and making people nervous."
Any drop in house prices would be a fresh blow for families who already face having to settle for worse deals on their mortgages if their current packages run out this year.
National Homebuyers, the UK's largest home purchase company, has launched a £250 million fund to take advantage of tumbling prices by buying up homes and tempting sellers with quick cash.
Across the country an estimated 45,000 homes will be repossessed in 2008 because owners cannot meet their mortgage repayments.
Julian King, from National Homebuyers, said: "Banks have been lending too much to those who cannot afford it and subsequently ended up struggling to meet extortionate mortgage repayments.
"This year we're on a mission to help people sell the home they can't afford more easily and efficiently than ever before. We're focused on removing as much stress from the process for them as possible.
"The tragedy of people losing their homes because they cannot meet repayments must be avoided. This increases the likelihood of families being broken up because of debt."
Mystery still surrounds the sudden closure of Farrells, the estate agents in Goldstone Villas, which abandoned its offices without warning more than a week ago.
Frantic calls from tenants, landlords and homeowners have all gone unanswered, leaving most connected to the company fearing substantial financial losses.
Even TeamProp, which helps market Farrells' properties and has a close association with the firm, said it was still "in the dark" over what had happened.
A spokesman admitted: "It sounds as thought they've gone under, but we honestly are as much in the dark as anyone else."
Chairman of Brighton and Hove Estate Agent Association, Hugh Tucknott, said he also remained in the dark.
The full effect Farrells' closure will have on customers remains unclear but dozens of its people have contacted The Argus saying they fear they will lose out on thousands of pounds entrusted to the firm.
They include people who have paid out hefty deposits, are in the middle of buying or selling properties and who have forked out estate agent fees.
Some have even said they feel unsafe and have been forced to change their locks because Farrells has copies of their front door keys.
One industry source told The Argus that "some of the mess" could be sorted out fairly easily.
But he added that a lot depended on whether Farrells had made use of deposit protection schemes and had taken out proper insurance policies.
He said: "It could lead to some legal action, which would place further burden on customers.
"If the firm has been through all the protect procedures with deposits, it should be fairly easy and straight forward. But that doesn't stop people quite rightly getting worried."
Bill McClintock, a spokesman for the Estate Agent Ombudsman, added: "If Farrells has done everything by the book, customers should be okay.
"However it's not a nice feeling to be in that situation."
One customer, a tenant, said she was told that Farrells' head of lettings, Gary Vincent, had "gone to work on the trains".
She said: "I called my landlady who said that she had been trying to get in touch with them for two weeks as she had not received January's rental payment and each time she called there was no answer.
"We advised the landlady that we had spoken to Gary about ten days before notifying him of a delay with our rent to be told that he was leaving the firm and going to work for the trains."
Branches of Link Up Properties in Hove and Shoreham have also closed, a company spokeswoman confirmed.
Nobody was available to comment further on the reasons for the closure of the two branches which were both independently run.
The Argus was not able to contact anyone from Farrells.
Are you preparing for a housing market recession? Leave your comments below.
phil, brighton says...
7:17am Thu 24 Jan 08
graham, hove says...
7:44am Thu 24 Jan 08
Experts are warning homeowners to get out of the property market before a massive crash wipes more than £100 million off the value of Sussex homes.
Phil, Kemptown says...
7:47am Thu 24 Jan 08
Anna B, Brighton says...
8:03am Thu 24 Jan 08
Priced out, Worthing says...
8:16am Thu 24 Jan 08
Anna B wrote:Anna B - You are about to learn the hard way dear.
This is complete rubbish. The FT reported that the website propertyfinder had four times more people looking at Brighton than anywhere else. Brighton prices are bucking the trend but who will believe that with all this negative reporting? Loads of people are moving out of London to live here - easy commute and better value for money, that's why I did it. Come on Argus, support your readers by reporting the truth!
Alex Chapman, Hove says...
8:20am Thu 24 Jan 08
JD, Brighton says...
8:23am Thu 24 Jan 08
Gareth, says...
8:23am Thu 24 Jan 08
One Mid Sussex estate agent said: "It's not as good as it used to be but it is still a good market. Most of the problem is that the papers keep going on about it and making people nervous."
James, Portslade says...
8:38am Thu 24 Jan 08
bob, lewes says...
8:42am Thu 24 Jan 08
Simon, Worthing says...
8:45am Thu 24 Jan 08
CH, Hove says...
8:47am Thu 24 Jan 08
roger, Hove says...
8:47am Thu 24 Jan 08
argus is daily mail in disguise, Hove says...
8:47am Thu 24 Jan 08
David, Cambs says...
8:53am Thu 24 Jan 08
Martin, Rottingdean says...
8:55am Thu 24 Jan 08
David, Cambs says...
9:06am Thu 24 Jan 08
Numb, here says...
9:10am Thu 24 Jan 08
richboy, brighton says...
9:11am Thu 24 Jan 08
james, worthing says...
9:11am Thu 24 Jan 08
jus, hove says...
9:14am Thu 24 Jan 08
Cookey, SW2 says...
9:15am Thu 24 Jan 08
Honest John, Inspecting his new magic beans from National Homebuyers says...
9:16am Thu 24 Jan 08
brambo wrote:Somewhat simplistic view of economics. Did you get that from your pull-out guide in today's Daily Sport?
Good. Now people who earn a normal wage can get on the ladder and all those toffs from London and scumbag landlords who buy to let can **** off.
jus, st. aubyns, hove says...
9:17am Thu 24 Jan 08
David wrote:160k for a semi in hove? do me a favour!! you can't get a 1 bed flat down my street for less than 180k!! studio's START at 120k at the moment!! keep it real mister!!
brambo I agree.. People have a right to buy an average home and when you consider they need to fall back to 3.5 times earning, when currently its pipped at 7-9 times earning, prices will need to fall 35% to bring them back to 2002 levels. Heres my predictions: So 325 detached fall to 212k.. 294 detached fall to 192k 220k detached needs to fall to approx 150k 160k semi needs to fall to 105K 120k terraced house to fall to 80k
journo, hove says...
9:17am Thu 24 Jan 08
Jonathan, Wadhurst says...
9:33am Thu 24 Jan 08
Stroller, Hove says...
9:35am Thu 24 Jan 08
Alice, Shoreham says...
9:40am Thu 24 Jan 08
Dave, Brighton says...
9:41am Thu 24 Jan 08
DAT, London says...
9:43am Thu 24 Jan 08
James, Gloucester says...
9:44am Thu 24 Jan 08
DAT, London says...
9:47am Thu 24 Jan 08
James, is a prat says...
9:47am Thu 24 Jan 08
JD, London says...
9:47am Thu 24 Jan 08
shane knight, says...
9:47am Thu 24 Jan 08
Bilbo Baggins, Hobbit Town? says...
9:48am Thu 24 Jan 08
Dan, Hove says...
9:49am Thu 24 Jan 08
Serious, Hove says...
9:52am Thu 24 Jan 08
James wrote:I will bet you any money that any given average property in this area will not drop in value by 50% in the next three years. Any money.
This is not scare mongering it is the truth. For the last 10 years idiots have been saying property is a good investment or can replace a pension. Property will sink at least 50% in the next 3 years.
graham, hove says...
10:00am Thu 24 Jan 08
Snooper, Brighton says...
10:00am Thu 24 Jan 08
David, Bognor says...
10:03am Thu 24 Jan 08
G., Brighton says...
10:03am Thu 24 Jan 08
Paul Smith, Hove says...
10:07am Thu 24 Jan 08
Lara, says...
10:08am Thu 24 Jan 08
JD wrote:Well said. Maybe this will stop some people making the biggest financial mistake of their lives.
As I have seen many economists recently say - and not lenders, estate agents, mortgage brokers (advisers - sic!), there is no doubt at all prices nationally will fall 35% by 2012 or so and more in areas such as Brighton - as they went up more here. Accept it. Miles - brave and brilliant man. You will stop a few people at least from making the biggest financial error of their lives -and put off buying or not invest in property (invest, that\'s a laugh). By the way, I\'m a Chartered Financial Planner and I give investment advice to real people and we have advised to clear out since 2006. Over the cycle this will prove obvious, in retrospect. But the hype has been astonishing. \'Captain, you cannae change the laws of... economics.\'
PT, UK says...
10:14am Thu 24 Jan 08
jay, hove says...
10:21am Thu 24 Jan 08
King Stromba, Staffs says...
10:21am Thu 24 Jan 08
Paul Smith, Hove says...
10:24am Thu 24 Jan 08
james, portslade says...
10:24am Thu 24 Jan 08
TTW, Brighton says...
10:24am Thu 24 Jan 08
Jill, Bognor says...
10:26am Thu 24 Jan 08
Eric Pink, Switzerland says...
10:29am Thu 24 Jan 08
Flat Foot Soozie, Brunswick Square says...
10:29am Thu 24 Jan 08
T.Ruth (genuine), brighton says...
10:31am Thu 24 Jan 08
Mark, london says...
10:31am Thu 24 Jan 08
Tony, leciestershire says...
10:31am Thu 24 Jan 08
Lara, Hove says...
10:36am Thu 24 Jan 08
Hovite, Hove says...
10:37am Thu 24 Jan 08
T.Ruth, brighton says...
10:39am Thu 24 Jan 08
Ex-Argus reader!, Brighton says...
10:40am Thu 24 Jan 08
T.Ruth, brighton says...
10:40am Thu 24 Jan 08
CW, Hampshire says...
10:40am Thu 24 Jan 08
Davey Jones, Brighton says...
10:41am Thu 24 Jan 08
John, uk says...
10:44am Thu 24 Jan 08
Evan Owen, says...
10:46am Thu 24 Jan 08
george, lavant says...
10:46am Thu 24 Jan 08
Matty, Brighton says...
10:47am Thu 24 Jan 08
Pricey, North of Brighton says...
10:47am Thu 24 Jan 08
Larry, brighton says...
10:47am Thu 24 Jan 08
noblit, Camden says...
10:49am Thu 24 Jan 08
Paul Smith, Hove says...
10:50am Thu 24 Jan 08
graham, hove says...
10:50am Thu 24 Jan 08
Pete Nichol, Brighton says...
10:52am Thu 24 Jan 08
Jiml, Bath says...
10:52am Thu 24 Jan 08
RJ, York says...
10:55am Thu 24 Jan 08
matt Oxford, oxford says...
10:56am Thu 24 Jan 08
W Atcher, London says...
10:59am Thu 24 Jan 08
george, lavant says...
10:59am Thu 24 Jan 08
Jiml wrote:Hey Jim, that's cool,
This article is financially illiterate. There are maybe half a million homes in Sussex, so a drop of £100 million is £200 each on average. Hardly a crash. A serious fall of 20% would knock about £50000 off the average price, which is over £20 *billion* for Sussex as a whole
George, says...
11:00am Thu 24 Jan 08
The Omniscient One, Brighton says...
11:02am Thu 24 Jan 08
deaky, East Yorkshire says...
11:04am Thu 24 Jan 08
george, lavant says...
11:06am Thu 24 Jan 08
Roger Tilbury, says...
11:09am Thu 24 Jan 08
Andy, Yorkshire says...
11:09am Thu 24 Jan 08
LM, London says...
11:12am Thu 24 Jan 08
Alf, Lewes says...
11:14am Thu 24 Jan 08
tobi, brighton says...
11:14am Thu 24 Jan 08
Flat Foot Soozie wrote:WELL FLOOZIE IS AT LAST MADE A SENSIBLE COMMENT , SELL SELL THE AGENTS CRY, THROUGH US SO WE CAN GET COMMISION, I HAVE SEEN IT ALL BEFORE STAY WHERE YOU ARE SIT TIGHT RIDE THE BUMPY RIDE BRIGHTON WILL GET A ROUGH TIME THIS YEAR. BUT LATE 2009 WILL COME BACK AT YOU , DONT BELIVE ME WELL LOOK UP WHAT HAPPENED AT THE LAST FALL IN PRICES, THEN 2YEARS LATER IF YOU ARE IN TROUBLE SWITHCH TO INTREST ONLY, DO ANYTHINK JUST DONT PANIC, A COUPLE OF MONTHS AGO THIS SAME NEWSPAPER, SUGGESTED HUGE RISES IN A PLACE IN HOVE JUMPS OF 300% SO JUST RIDE IT OUT, OUR ECONEMY IS THE BEST IN THE EEC. HOUSES ARE SUPPLY AND DEMAND. DO WE HAVE ENOUGH ACCOMADATION IN BRIGHTON TO MEET DEMAND, NO, SO DO NOT PANIC ITS WHAT THE NEWSPAPERS AND ESTATE AGENTS WANT. IF THEY DO FALL 50% I WILL BUY MORE, BEST PENSION YOU CAN GET
If all these experts are such experts, why didn't they announce this earlier? There should be a ban on those "look at me" suits worn by estate agents. You can see them as they get out of cars emblazoned with the firm's name and parked on yellow lines. There is nothing so uncool as trying to be cool. Western Road is full of them.
Mary Hinge, Brighton says...
11:15am Thu 24 Jan 08
Roger Tilbury wrote:"House prices have never crashed". I think you are living in cloud cuckoo land, Roger.
House prices have never crashed. So-called experts have been predicting this since 2003 (and they never crawl out of the woodwork to tell us where they went wrong). Prices may stay the same of drift slightly lower but that is not a crash. Estate agents may go out of business because people are not selling but so what? They've been doing very well in the last ten years. Price don't crash simply because people will not sell if they are going to lose money or even make less profit than they expected. They will stay where they are and extend/loft convert if they need more room. Perhaps the Argus could leave this scaremongering, sensational nonsense to the Sport and the Sun (or are they trying to become that sort of paper?)
Alex, Sussex says...
11:15am Thu 24 Jan 08
Matt ODonnell, London says...
11:17am Thu 24 Jan 08
TOBI, sussex says...
11:20am Thu 24 Jan 08
Roger Tilbury wrote:WELL RODGER YOUR COMMENTS ON THIS ISSUE SEEM SPOT ON UNLIKE YOUR COMMENTS ABOUT THE LEGAL AGE OF CONSENT, GET IT CONSENT- MEANS CONSENTING
House prices have never crashed. So-called experts have been predicting this since 2003 (and they never crawl out of the woodwork to tell us where they went wrong). Prices may stay the same of drift slightly lower but that is not a crash. Estate agents may go out of business because people are not selling but so what? They've been doing very well in the last ten years. Price don't crash simply because people will not sell if they are going to lose money or even make less profit than they expected. They will stay where they are and extend/loft convert if they need more room. Perhaps the Argus could leave this scaremongering, sensational nonsense to the Sport and the Sun (or are they trying to become that sort of paper?)
Matty, Brighton says...
11:21am Thu 24 Jan 08
george, lavavnt says...
11:22am Thu 24 Jan 08
Paul, Brighton says...
11:25am Thu 24 Jan 08
richboy wrote:Sorry to tell you this richboy but your business sense is sadly lacking. Intelligent investors buy cheap and sell high. You've bought high and will be in negative equity for 3-7 years
I sold up in london and I\'ve bought 10 flats in brighton 1 year ago. I\'m not really that bothered if prices plunge as I\'ll just buy some more flats as I\'m in it for the long haul.
bingoburgerboy, burgerlandUSA says...
11:26am Thu 24 Jan 08
Andy wrote:Er, most of them are...like most experts...they know that prices fall & drop in 18 year cycles. They pretend that they think prices will continue upwards to ramp prices (but secretly they sell at the top). Then they buy up again at the bottom of the market.
I am sitting in the north of england reading the hysterical comments of both sides, weird how no one can be on both sides of the fence isn\'t it ? The truth is that expansion CANNOT be permanent. Home owners have used rising values to fund nice lifestyles for several years now and good luck to them. HOWEVER the creation of wealth from nothing (which is what house price inflation is ) must eventually be funded from somewhere... think about it. I will leave you with a consideration about \"expert opinion\" If you were to ask all of the financial gurus who now say that a property crash is impossible the following question what do you think their answer would have been ??.
\"It is the year 2000 do you think that property prices will treble in the next 5-6 years \".
If any answer yes then why aren\'t they properety billionaires ??
Mark, Brighton says...
11:27am Thu 24 Jan 08
Andy Mellings, Hove says...
11:29am Thu 24 Jan 08
Mel, Hove says...
11:31am Thu 24 Jan 08
Roger Tilbury wrote:Maybe you dont remember the housing crash in the late 80's when B&H fell around 30%
House prices have never crashed. So-called experts have been predicting this since 2003 (and they never crawl out of the woodwork to tell us where they went wrong). Prices may stay the same of drift slightly lower but that is not a crash. Estate agents may go out of business because people are not selling but so what? They've been doing very well in the last ten years. Price don't crash simply because people will not sell if they are going to lose money or even make less profit than they expected. They will stay where they are and extend/loft convert if they need more room. Perhaps the Argus could leave this scaremongering, sensational nonsense to the Sport and the Sun (or are they trying to become that sort of paper?)
stevie dee, nottingham says...
11:39am Thu 24 Jan 08
ah, brighton says...
11:39am Thu 24 Jan 08
Ian Powell, Hove Actually says...
11:40am Thu 24 Jan 08
seagullsovergrimsby, Crap Town says...
11:44am Thu 24 Jan 08
Brighton, Brighton says...
11:51am Thu 24 Jan 08
Matt ODonnell, London says...
11:52am Thu 24 Jan 08
george, lavant says...
11:55am Thu 24 Jan 08
Matt ODonnell wrote:If we used the right measure of inflation then this would never have happened. Who to blame? Gordon clown
Jay wrote: "...this governement should be encouraging buy to let to ease the housing crisis as we are doing their job." The only "housing crisis" we have is a lack of affordable houses to buy. Landlords buying up houses, then renting to them back to people (who would have been able to buy that house themselves if the landlord hadn't just out-bid him!) is not going to solve the problem. Luckily the market will sort itself out soon enough, and then young people will once again have the chance of buying their own home. Just a shame that the government stood back and let this housing bubble happen. They could have prevented it, or at least lessened it's effects.
david barker, eastbourne says...
11:56am Thu 24 Jan 08
EA Bunkum, London says...
11:56am Thu 24 Jan 08
Richard, Brighton says...
11:56am Thu 24 Jan 08
Colly Cibber, Hove Actually says...
11:59am Thu 24 Jan 08
joe Wheeler, bn2 says...
12:01pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Richard, Brighton says...
12:02pm Thu 24 Jan 08
dc wrote:Please read: www.housepricecrash.
well this story does nothing to help the hundreds of estate agent businesses across sussex trying to stay afloat.
don't get me wrong, i am no fan of estate agents, but this scaremongering story is totally unjustified and wrong with no actual fact behind it.
This kind of talk helps no-one, yes things are bleak, but there are positives to come aswell.
Michael, London says...
12:03pm Thu 24 Jan 08
MrT, London says...
12:09pm Thu 24 Jan 08
I own an estate agency and he has not done his research. The market is reacting to market factors and the market has slowed, but not in freefall. We are still selling properties but they have dropped in price slightly. It is not just my business that suffers when headlines appear like this, it is the hairdresser in the street, the clothes shop in the laines, the taxi drivers etc, everyone is affected when pieces like this are written. Think of the brighton econony first not your own ego Mr Godfrey.
S, Kemptown says...
12:12pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Phil wrote:YOU hope!!! A laught, if so I shall buy the whole of Brighton and Hove!!!
A 30% - 50% "correction" in Brighton would be most welcolme
Mary Hinge, Brighton says...
12:12pm Thu 24 Jan 08
joe Wheeler wrote:"Stick to the facts" - Perhaps you should too Joe - the market is falling now, and the crash has yet to come. Of course it hasn't happened yet!
This man Miles Godfrey is trying to make a name for himself and in turn his stupid headline can cause panic locally and nationally. I own an estate agency and he has not done his research. The market is reacting to market factors and the market has slowed, but not in freefall. We are still selling properties but they have dropped in price slightly. It is not just my business that suffers when headlines appear like this, it is the hairdresser in the street, the clothes shop in the laines, the taxi drivers etc, everyone is affected when pieces like this are written. Think of the brighton econony first not your own ego Mr Godfrey. This journalist needs to speak to people in the industry first and name his sources. He is going to get a lot of abuse for his comments and the story is about an agent going bust not the market. Stick to the facts
Matty, Brighton says...
12:14pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Brambo, says...
12:14pm Thu 24 Jan 08
james wrote:No, I don't live with my Mum. I live with your Mum.
People also have a write to an investment brambo you idiot, especially as pensions are a joke..whats the matter..bitter cos you are still living with mumy and daddy..get over it!
simon, aylesbury says...
12:19pm Thu 24 Jan 08
joe Wheeler wrote:Joe, in some ways I sympathise with you but in others I don't. If you have a sound and secure agency you will neither have to talk up or down the market, just let the market decide and ply your business as you always have. However, if you have grown fat on the spoils of greed and debt then obviously you cannot expect sympathy. I do not know you so wish you well.
This man Miles Godfrey is trying to make a name for himself and in turn his stupid headline can cause panic locally and nationally. I own an estate agency and he has not done his research. The market is reacting to market factors and the market has slowed, but not in freefall. We are still selling properties but they have dropped in price slightly. It is not just my business that suffers when headlines appear like this, it is the hairdresser in the street, the clothes shop in the laines, the taxi drivers etc, everyone is affected when pieces like this are written. Think of the brighton econony first not your own ego Mr Godfrey. This journalist needs to speak to people in the industry first and name his sources. He is going to get a lot of abuse for his comments and the story is about an agent going bust not the market. Stick to the facts
James's mum, Brighton says...
12:21pm Thu 24 Jan 08
R. Istbear, Rottingdean says...
12:32pm Thu 24 Jan 08
jamie, oxford says...
12:32pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Lara, Hove says...
12:33pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Brighton, Brighton says...
12:34pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Binky, hove says...
12:36pm Thu 24 Jan 08
consa, Sussex says...
12:36pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Kickboxer, Worthing says...
12:39pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Richard, Brighton says...
12:40pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Matty, Brighton says...
12:42pm Thu 24 Jan 08
jamie, oxford says...
12:44pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Binky wrote:Wouldn't be too smug Binky, who says it's worth £450 now and do you think you could really get that in this market? I'm an agent and we can't sell anything at the moment unless it has 10% straight off with another 5-10% margin on top of that. these are desperate times.
stupid scaremongering, most of us will be ok, just sitting tight. I bought my house for £199k its now worth £450k it would have to fall by a HUGE percentage for that to be wiped out, I can lose a bit and not worry. Poorly written piece
Mary Hinge, Brighton says...
12:53pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Binky wrote:That's all very well Binky, and I'm sure you've been sensible with your mortgage.
stupid scaremongering, most of us will be ok, just sitting tight. I bought my house for £199k its now worth £450k it would have to fall by a HUGE percentage for that to be wiped out, I can lose a bit and not worry. Poorly written piece
RAS Putin, Brighton says...
12:54pm Thu 24 Jan 08
wrongmove, Brighton says...
12:54pm Thu 24 Jan 08
RAS Putin, Brighton says...
12:56pm Thu 24 Jan 08
wrongmove wrote:Yes- availability of mortgages .
This is nothing more than a pathetic attempt by property agents to drum up some business.Prices are largely dictated by availability.
jamie, oxford says...
12:59pm Thu 24 Jan 08
RAS Putin wrote:and affordability..
wrongmove wrote: This is nothing more than a pathetic attempt by property agents to drum up some business.Prices are largely dictated by availability.Yes- availability of mortgages .
Larry Grayson, Brighton says...
1:04pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Mark the Estate Agent, Hove actually says...
1:08pm Thu 24 Jan 08
bob, lewes says...
1:09pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Matt ODonnell, London says...
1:19pm Thu 24 Jan 08
wrongmove wrote:Not in the case of houses.
This is nothing more than a pathetic attempt by property agents to drum up some business.Prices are largely dictated by availability.
jamie, oxford says...
1:22pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Mark the Estate Agent wrote:Mark, you clearly are a 'head in the sand' type, or the blight hasn't got down to you yet? The London buyers you talk of will dry up rapidly now if they haven't already and you should not see that as Brighton's cash-cow - it's ruined our area. I am an agent on the border of bucks and oxon and we are struggling. That's an understatement - we're dying.
Whether you agree with the opinion (and it is purely opinion) of Miles or not, you have to admit that this article is woolley best. There is quite literally no reference to specific sources or any real sign of research any where within this article. It reads as though Miles has decided the story he wants to write then vaguely inserted quotes from anonymous sources. I mean it's not exactly a dispatches expose is it? He even seems to become a bit bored half way through and just rambles about the implications of a small estate agent closing for the remainder of the article. How much have the prices risen in the last decade Miles? How does that compare the the national average? Are there any historical market trends that indicate that the risk of a price crash is higher? To be honest I don't know what is going to happen.I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips. But as I said I don't know, and neither does Miles, But I have scrawled my ill founded opinion accross the Argus. Please make more of an effort next time. PS a note to all the very vocal haters of estate agents. I can't afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords. So back off PPS Loved the use of the word 'appear' twice in one sentance . Genius.
John, York says...
1:23pm Thu 24 Jan 08
The Stirrer, Brighton says...
1:29pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Mark the Estate Agent wrote:Oh my my, oh dear oh dear
Whether you agree with the opinion (and it is purely opinion) of Miles or not, you have to admit that this article is woolley best. There is quite literally no reference to specific sources or any real sign of research any where within this article. It reads as though Miles has decided the story he wants to write then vaguely inserted quotes from anonymous sources. I mean it's not exactly a dispatches expose is it? He even seems to become a bit bored half way through and just rambles about the implications of a small estate agent closing for the remainder of the article. How much have the prices risen in the last decade Miles? How does that compare the the national average? Are there any historical market trends that indicate that the risk of a price crash is higher? To be honest I don't know what is going to happen.I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips. But as I said I don't know, and neither does Miles, But I have scrawled my ill founded opinion accross the Argus. Please make more of an effort next time. PS a note to all the very vocal haters of estate agents. I can't afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords. So back off PPS Loved the use of the word 'appear' twice in one sentance . Genius.
Negative Equity, wORTHING says...
1:29pm Thu 24 Jan 08
James, says...
1:29pm Thu 24 Jan 08
steve, accrington says...
1:30pm Thu 24 Jan 08
george, aylesbury says...
1:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08
John wrote:John, thanks for posting that and I am genuinely sorry for your plight. But at least it will hopefully stop some agents from trying to pull the wool over our eyes with silly posts on here. Jamie excluded!
I bought last year, i have just had my house put on the market and have only had 2 offers, both are 20% below what i paid. GO ON CONVINCE ME that this article is scaremongering! I am going down.
Spanish Gentleman, laughing All The Way To The Leads With Cheeky George Cole says...
1:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08
David wrote:Right its time this was sorted out.
brambo I agree.. People have a right to buy an average home and when you consider they need to fall back to 3.5 times earning, when currently its pipped at 7-9 times earning, prices will need to fall 35% to bring them back to 2002 levels. Heres my predictions: So 325 detached fall to 212k.. 294 detached fall to 192k 220k detached needs to fall to approx 150k 160k semi needs to fall to 105K 120k terraced house to fall to 80k
MrT, London says...
1:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08
I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips.
quotecinth Buckets that notice prices falling around them but then say "but my street/road/area is different/special.."
I can't afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords
Jiml, Bath says...
1:38pm Thu 24 Jan 08
george wrote:No, I think I'll wait till next year and save £200...
Jiml wrote:Hey Jim, that's cool,
This article is financially illiterate. There are maybe half a million homes in Sussex, so a drop of £100 million is £200 each on average. Hardly a crash. A serious fall of 20% would knock about £50000 off the average price, which is over £20 *billion* for Sussex as a whole
So are you going to buy, buy buy right now then? hehe..... what agent was it you worked for by the way?!
Barry Humphries, Brigthon says...
1:42pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Negative Equity wrote:Because it's the Estate Agent that have been talking up a market, that Economically should be receding, giving people the impression they should buy now before they can no longer afford it.
Why blame the estate agent, a house is only worth what somebody will pay for it. Simple Supply and Demand Economics. When people buy a property surely they check the market and what they can afford. All this talk about a crash will surely create one. It's all about confidence.
Reynard, Brighton says...
1:46pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Harvey G, Leamington Spa says...
1:55pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Mark the Letting Agent, Hove says...
1:58pm Thu 24 Jan 08
jamie wrote:Good points, sorry to hear things are so tough at the moment, we aren't feeling it so badly here, but as you say it may be coming. I don't refute there is a downturn in the market but I don't think you, I or Miles can reliably announce an imminent crash. Is there a possibility that perhaps there is still some serious adjusting for Vendors to do in terms of what they will accept? Owners are having a hard time accepting that what they consider a reduction isn't enough. there is a real differences between some of the prices achieved at the peak last year and what are achievable now, it's hard to swallow but buyers know it and Vendors slow to give up 'trying' for that little extra. Hence why during this adjustment period, agents are struggling to tie things up, there is a gap between the twos percieved values, buyers are undervaluing a litte and Vendors (and agents) are overvaluing still.
Mark the Estate Agent wrote: Whether you agree with the opinion (and it is purely opinion) of Miles or not, you have to admit that this article is woolley best. There is quite literally no reference to specific sources or any real sign of research any where within this article. It reads as though Miles has decided the story he wants to write then vaguely inserted quotes from anonymous sources. I mean it\'s not exactly a dispatches expose is it? He even seems to become a bit bored half way through and just rambles about the implications of a small estate agent closing for the remainder of the article. How much have the prices risen in the last decade Miles? How does that compare the the national average? Are there any historical market trends that indicate that the risk of a price crash is higher? To be honest I don\'t know what is going to happen.I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips. But as I said I don\'t know, and neither does Miles, But I have scrawled my ill founded opinion accross the Argus. Please make more of an effort next time. PS a note to all the very vocal haters of estate agents. I can\'t afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords. So back off PPS Loved the use of the word \'appear\' twice in one sentance . Genius.Mark, you clearly are a \'head in the sand\' type, or the blight hasn\'t got down to you yet? The London buyers you talk of will dry up rapidly now if they haven\'t already and you should not see that as Brighton\'s cash-cow - it\'s ruined our area. I am an agent on the border of bucks and oxon and we are struggling. That\'s an understatement - we\'re dying. Buyers expect at least 10% off the asking price even if a property has already been reduced; and who can blame them really? And then even with that, some back out just before exchange because they feel insecure about what the market is doing and want an even better deal. I am actually sick of trying to talk this up and don\'t want to mislead buyers...for me this this just a job and I\'m not going to tell people untruths. You must know as an agent that this thing hasn\'t bottomed out yet and there are no bargains to be had. There will be; but that could be a year away, or even longer. Who knows? I note that you have very few properties on your books and most are of low value or sold - you must be worried. Hope it works out for you.
Spanish Gentleman, The Throbbing Heart of The Worlds Greatest City says...
2:00pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Harvey G wrote:Yes but you live in Leamington Spa mate. hardly what you'd call a result.
I sold almost 2 years ago after making a few quid. I'm now renting, and watching you all stick your heads in the sand. I'm waiting at least 2 more years to get back in. Should bag a tidy bargain eh?
Richard, Brighton says...
2:11pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Knight Rider, brighton says...
2:11pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Best Argus post ever 'Scotch a holic', Simply send £20 via Paypal says...
2:13pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Mark The Tenant, Hove says...
2:14pm Thu 24 Jan 08
MrT wrote:Of course I mind not being able to buy. it's rubbish, everything is too expensive and I can't really be bothered chasing it all till i'm retired.
I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips.Oh dear you just cant help yourself can you, I suppose that just the honest EA in you, on one hand you say you dont know what will happen and then come out with the above jem of a quote. You keep holding out for those rich Londinium investors ( who would jump at the chance of investing in a depreciating asset and lose money.../rolls eyes), this reminds me of those Hyaquotecinth Buckets that notice prices falling around them but then say "but my street/road/area is different/special.."I can't afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlordsAnd you dont see anything remotely wrong with not being able to buy at a fair price in your area for all your hard work at all?? Well at least you get nice cards from the indebted which is nice of them, I have to wonder what the content of those cards will be next year though.
John, Shoreham says...
2:16pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Spanish Gentleman, Nose Pressed Up Against Fox & Sons Windows While London Trendies Host Dinner Parties in Their Hanover Artisan Dwelling says...
2:18pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Richard wrote:Advice: Write like Richard and come across as an utterly unqualified but quite arrogant idiot.
Advice: don't be lured into investing too early into a falling housing market. History shows us that housing market crashes raley take place overnight. The Japanese and Germany housing market have been falling in real terms for over a decade. Waiting for the market to bottom and then buying will create the real winners. Spread the word it'll be quite a few years yet! PS Does anbody know how to bet on falling house prices?
Rooneyo, Brighton says...
2:18pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Matt ODonnell, London says...
2:20pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Richard wrote:Betting on house prices:
Advice: don't be lured into investing too early into a falling housing market.
History shows us that housing market crashes raley take place overnight.
The Japanese and Germany housing market have been falling in real terms for over a decade.
Waiting for the market to bottom and then buying will create the real winners. Spread the word it'll be quite a few years yet!
PS Does anbody know how to bet on falling house prices?
Spanish Gentleman, Tut tut tut says...
2:24pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Leon, Brighton says...
2:25pm Thu 24 Jan 08
James wrote:In my opinion labeling people who have made millions from the housing market in the past years as idiots is in itself a rather idiotic view. I cant really comment on your prediction of the housing market dropping by 50% in the next 3 years as you are obviously a property financial advisor and I am not, however looking back at the market trends in the past 50 years there have been constant rise and falls but overall prices shall continue to grow in the long term.DONT BE SCAREMONGERED BY THE PRESS, lets not forget we are all supposed to be dying from bird flu this year according to them
This is not scare mongering it is the truth. For the last 10 years idiots have been saying property is a good investment or can replace a pension. Property will sink at least 50% in the next 3 years.
jamie, oxford says...
2:26pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Mark the Letting Agent wrote:Mark, sorry maybe I was being abit pompous about your stock. I work for big ***k-off agents and just a quick look was so different from what we have to deal with. Anyway, desk tidying and a couple of viewings today isn't going to keep this place going! or all the cars in our carpark! You are right about lettings though; some of our shrewder clints are totally out of property now, renting, and sitting pretty waitng for the 'bottom' to come whenever that may be. I reckon about 18 months from now in this area but who knows?
jamie wrote:Good points, sorry to hear things are so tough at the moment, we aren't feeling it so badly here, but as you say it may be coming. I don't refute there is a downturn in the market but I don't think you, I or Miles can reliably announce an imminent crash. Is there a possibility that perhaps there is still some serious adjusting for Vendors to do in terms of what they will accept? Owners are having a hard time accepting that what they consider a reduction isn't enough. there is a real differences between some of the prices achieved at the peak last year and what are achievable now, it's hard to swallow but buyers know it and Vendors slow to give up 'trying' for that little extra. Hence why during this adjustment period, agents are struggling to tie things up, there is a gap between the twos percieved values, buyers are undervaluing a litte and Vendors (and agents) are overvaluing still. I just mean perhaps reporting slightly less sensationally and little more factually would perhaps alert Vendors they need to lower their expectations whilst not scaring the wits out of Joe Public to the point that we panic ourselves into a crash. BUT AS I SAID I don't don't for sure either way. My reason for writing was due to the real lack of Substance in an article of this type. Just as a word of advise, I have moved back into the lettings market recently and woudl recommend considering it as an option to help you weather the storm. Kind Regards Ps - don't know how you would have looked at whats on our books, but we've 40+ on at the moment (that's the problem! :-)Mark the Estate Agent wrote: Whether you agree with the opinion (and it is purely opinion) of Miles or not, you have to admit that this article is woolley best. There is quite literally no reference to specific sources or any real sign of research any where within this article. It reads as though Miles has decided the story he wants to write then vaguely inserted quotes from anonymous sources. I mean it\'s not exactly a dispatches expose is it? He even seems to become a bit bored half way through and just rambles about the implications of a small estate agent closing for the remainder of the article. How much have the prices risen in the last decade Miles? How does that compare the the national average? Are there any historical market trends that indicate that the risk of a price crash is higher? To be honest I don\'t know what is going to happen.I think things are adjusting downwards after an very prolonged rise, but Brighton does have a very steady flow of London buyers and wealthy investors which usually seems to, if anything, protect us slightly from the market dips. But as I said I don\'t know, and neither does Miles, But I have scrawled my ill founded opinion accross the Argus. Please make more of an effort next time. PS a note to all the very vocal haters of estate agents. I can\'t afford to buy, but I work hard and honestly and come Christmas there is always a pile of cards saying thank you, from buyers, sellers, tenant and landlords. So back off PPS Loved the use of the word \'appear\' twice in one sentance . Genius.Mark, you clearly are a \'head in the sand\' type, or the blight hasn\'t got down to you yet? The London buyers you talk of will dry up rapidly now if they haven\'t already and you should not see that as Brighton\'s cash-cow - it\'s ruined our area. I am an agent on the border of bucks and oxon and we are struggling. That\'s an understatement - we\'re dying. Buyers expect at least 10% off the asking price even if a property has already been reduced; and who can blame them really? And then even with that, some back out just before exchange because they feel insecure about what the market is doing and want an even better deal. I am actually sick of trying to talk this up and don\'t want to mislead buyers...for me this this just a job and I\'m not going to tell people untruths. You must know as an agent that this thing hasn\'t bottomed out yet and there are no bargains to be had. There will be; but that could be a year away, or even longer. Who knows? I note that you have very few properties on your books and most are of low value or sold - you must be worried. Hope it works out for you.
Honour High napped, at 11:23am says...
2:28pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Spanish Gentleman wrote:Winning Nap given at 11:23 am
Some more number crunching. Posts on Appeal For Blood Donors - 7 Posts on House Prices - 164 Silly silly people.
Andrew, Walthamstow says...
2:30pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Richard, Brighton says...
2:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08
james, Bath says...
2:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08
george, aylesbury says...
2:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Spanish Gentleman wrote:but people's banks want blood as well!
Some more number crunching. Posts on Appeal For Blood Donors - 7 Posts on House Prices - 164 Silly silly people.
Spanish Gentleman, Whirr Clunk Kerpow The Pigeon says...
2:33pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Honour High napped wrote:More to the point
Spanish Gentleman wrote: Some more number crunching. Posts on Appeal For Blood Donors - 7 Posts on House Prices - 164 Silly silly people.Winning Nap given at 11:23 am Honour High @17/2 only 14 comments. Silly Silly
Spanish Gentleman, says...
2:35pm Thu 24 Jan 08
george wrote:Some people could not give an Aylesbury Duck about anything else but their personal finances it appears, eh George.
Spanish Gentleman wrote: Some more number crunching. Posts on Appeal For Blood Donors - 7 Posts on House Prices - 164 Silly silly people.but people's banks want blood as well!
graham, hove says...
2:35pm Thu 24 Jan 08
george, aylesbury says...
2:37pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Spanish Gentleman wrote:quite
george wrote:Some people could not give an Aylesbury Duck about anything else but their personal finances it appears, eh George.Spanish Gentleman wrote: Some more number crunching. Posts on Appeal For Blood Donors - 7 Posts on House Prices - 164 Silly silly people.but people's banks want blood as well!
Chris, Brighton says...
2:41pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Spanish Gentleman, Round Nick H's shooting peasants says...
2:41pm Thu 24 Jan 08
graham wrote:Spot on Graham the only sensible post on this entire thread. Well said.
As a hmoeowner am I bailing out? nope. I need my house to LIVE in thanks, and so do my kids and not to mention the missus; its what houses are there for, just in case we've all forgotten.
Mr Lee, Portsmouth says...
2:49pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Spanish Gentleman, says...
2:50pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Richard wrote:zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Haven't Spanish properties already seen a crash?
Spanish Gentleman, says...
2:52pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Mr Lee wrote:You were doing so well until
Have you ever seen so many responses to a news article? It just goes to show how emotive the whole house price subject is. What is very clear from reading these posts is the amount of people that are just point blankly refusing to admit that there is anything wrong with the economic mess that Old Brown Nose has gotten us into. Perhaps, quite understandably they want to protect their investments and think that by ignoring the current and very obvious slow down they are somehow going to prevent it. There are also a lot of posts from people that are patiently waiting for a slow down or drop in house prices. These people are not bitter, or desperate or doom mongers, they are simply hard working people that have been priced out of the market by the ridiculous and unstoppable rise in house prices and they just want the chance to put a roof over their head or a place to call their own. It seems that investors, developers and the thousands of buy to letters are convinced that there is a finite amount of money in this country and that prices can and will continue to go up and up and up. How is this supposed to happen when 70% of this countries working population are on salaries or pay that is below £18,000 per year? The same excuses are trotted out time and time again, like supply and demand. If thats the case, why are there thousands of flats and city centre apartments sitting empty in places like London, Birmingham, Liverpool and Manchester? Properties that the sellers have openly claimed they have been unable to sell. Just down the road from us here is a block of new build flats that have been empty for over a year. Is it because there are no buyers or because they cost £200,000 for a show box that you couldnt swing a cat in? I think what is clear from the current situation, is that a slow down is happening, the BOE have based our entire economy on house prices, which are no starting to falter. Whether anyone likes it or not, the government are grabbing at straws and trying desperately to prop up the miracle economy that they have created through over borrowing and selling our entire manufacturing base and industry down the river. If house prices go down, so does the economy. Thats not a very pleasant prospect, but it does need to happen to bring the cost of living and real earning back in line. This country has been driven forward by ten years of utter greed and materialism and now its coming back to bite us on the backside. Some people deserve that for playing their part in the and other will be caught in the crossfire, I for one saw it coming ages ago and made my provisions Im just going to sit back and watch Rome burn!
No, Way says...
2:53pm Thu 24 Jan 08
dc wrote:too many estate agent any way. getting rid of a few might teach them a lesson in hiking up house prices and charging extortionate fees for lettings.
well this story does nothing to help the hundreds of estate agent businesses across sussex trying to stay afloat.
don't get me wrong, i am no fan of estate agents, but this scaremongering story is totally unjustified and wrong with no actual fact behind it.
This kind of talk helps no-one, yes things are bleak, but there are positives to come aswell.
soap box, brighton says...
2:54pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Sara Guppy, Brighton says...
2:55pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Spanish Gentleman, says...
3:01pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Sara Guppy wrote:Sara you are obviously mortgaged to the hilt and very nervous. I would say that campaigning to bring a very probably terrorist to live in Saltdean is far more irresponsible. I would rather have negative equity than be maimed blinded or have my loved ones killed.
The most irresponsible piece of journalism I've read in a long time. Well done Argus.
Anon, Hove says...
3:09pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Stevie Dee, Nottingham says...
3:10pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Mr Lee, Portsmouth says...
3:14pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Spanish Gentleman wrote:Not really, I just decide not to jump on the housing bandwagon. I am still saving for a deposit and hopefully will get the chance to buy when the time is right. I have waited years to get a foot on the ladder, but have ended up playing catch up because every time I save enough for a deposit the prices have gone up out of my reach again. I do hope that thousands of people get the chance to start a life for themselves by getting the chance to buy their first home. I'm not going to shed a single tear for all the greedy and self interested investors, and estate agents that caused this situation in the first place, with no regard to the affect they were having on anyone else. They have been driven purely by huge commission cheques. If that makes me small minded and petty - then I'm guilty as charged.
Mr Lee wrote: Have you ever seen so many responses to a news article? It just goes to show how emotive the whole house price subject is. What is very clear from reading these posts is the amount of people that are just point blankly refusing to admit that there is anything wrong with the economic mess that Old Brown Nose has gotten us into. Perhaps, quite understandably they want to protect their investments and think that by ignoring the current and very obvious slow down they are somehow going to prevent it. There are also a lot of posts from people that are patiently waiting for a slow down or drop in house prices. These people are not bitter, or desperate or doom mongers, they are simply hard working people that have been priced out of the market by the ridiculous and unstoppable rise in house prices and they just want the chance to put a roof over their head or a place to call their own. It seems that investors, developers and the thousands of buy to letters are convinced that there is a finite amount of money in this country and that prices can and will continue to go up and up and up. How is this supposed to happen when 70% of this countries working population are on salaries or pay that is below £18,000 per year? The same excuses are trotted out time and time again, like supply and demand. If thats the case, why are there thousands of flats and city centre apartments sitting empty in places like London, Birmingham, Liverpool and Manchester? Properties that the sellers have openly claimed they have been unable to sell. Just down the road from us here is a block of new build flats that have been empty for over a year. Is it because there are no buyers or because they cost £200,000 for a show box that you couldnt swing a cat in? I think what is clear from the current situation, is that a slow down is happening, the BOE have based our entire economy on house prices, which are no starting to falter. Whether anyone likes it or not, the government are grabbing at straws and trying desperately to prop up the miracle economy that they have created through over borrowing and selling our entire manufacturing base and industry down the river. If house prices go down, so does the economy. Thats not a very pleasant prospect, but it does need to happen to bring the cost of living and real earning back in line. This country has been driven forward by ten years of utter greed and materialism and now its coming back to bite us on the backside. Some people deserve that for playing their part in the and other will be caught in the crossfire, I for one saw it coming ages ago and made my provisions Im just going to sit back and watch Rome burn!You were doing so well until I for one saw it coming ages ago and made my provisions Im just going to sit back and watch Rome burn! and now you come across as big as small minded petty selfish snide as most people on here.
Glen, Onamission says...
3:17pm Thu 24 Jan 08
MJS, London says...
3:26pm Thu 24 Jan 08
richboy wrote:Ha, Ha,
I sold up in london and I've bought 10 flats in brighton 1 year ago. I'm not really that bothered if prices plunge as I'll just buy some more flats as I'm in it for the long haul.
Tom, Brighton says...
3:31pm Thu 24 Jan 08
hove voice, says...
3:35pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Steve, York says...
3:43pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Felix, Sussex says...
3:47pm Thu 24 Jan 08
John, Hove says...
3:50pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Vicky, London says...
3:50pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Dave wrote:Classic!! This is not about Estate Agents this is about banks irresponsible lending, house prices are only worth what people can pay. Banks in their wisdom decided that multiples of x 5 your earnings is reasonable, self cert mortgages were purposly aimed at lower earners to enable them borrow excessively. The market is held up not by lark of supply but by HUGE credit. The credit crunch was a beast waiting to happen
Estate agents have a lot to answer for in this. They have been pushing up house prices for as long as I can remeber to fund their own lifestyles with not a second thought about how they are effecting the economy. I have been saying for a while that, Estate agents should be banned from charging a percentage and only be allowed to charge flat transaction fees, this would remove any gain for them in pushing up prices to keep their convertible Audi or Bimma on the road.
brenda, brighton says...
3:51pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Anon wrote:Anon
My girlfriend and I bought a studio flat last year. Thanks to the fact that I had lived there for many, many years, purchased it at a discounted price. However, we cannot afford to have a family (something we would both dearly love), as we cannot afford to move to a larger property. Without wishing anyone any bad luck, this may, just may give us a fighting chance to have something that previous generations were more able to have, i.e. a child. We are not greedy nor wanting a property as an investment, merely a home in which to grow old together, nothing more.
Anon, Hove says...
4:07pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Cash is King, Hove says...
4:22pm Thu 24 Jan 08
brenda wrote:You moron. Grateful to be on the ladder indeed. You've been watching too much of Krusty and Phil.
Anon wrote: My girlfriend and I bought a studio flat last year. Thanks to the fact that I had lived there for many, many years, purchased it at a discounted price. However, we cannot afford to have a family (something we would both dearly love), as we cannot afford to move to a larger property. Without wishing anyone any bad luck, this may, just may give us a fighting chance to have something that previous generations were more able to have, i.e. a child. We are not greedy nor wanting a property as an investment, merely a home in which to grow old together, nothing more.Anon At least be grateful you have managed to get a foot on the ladder.
Numberwang, Brighton says...
4:25pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Matt ODonnell, London says...
4:30pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Anon wrote:Very sad that working couples are seriously thinking about whether they can afford children (whilst those on benefits don't seem to be having any trouble).
Brenda, we are grateful, but we didn't think we would be stuck in a glorified bedsit for the forseeable future. We both work hard for a reasonable wage (although nowhere near enough to improve our situation) and we are both in our late 30's. Time is running out for us to have and raise a child and other than move to somewhere away from our jobs, family and friend we are pretty well stuffed. If this crash happens, we might be able to move forward a little. As I stated earlier, we just want a proper home.
Lucky7, Brighton says...
4:36pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Born in Hove!!,, HOVE says...
4:47pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Paul, Brighton says...
4:49pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Actually, Hove says...
4:51pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Just reading all the quotes, and would like to know how many people are pure Brightonions,?? Went to school in Brighton?? and now work in Brighton??, Bringing up kids in Brighton??....Maybe im wrong but the ones who keep calling people names are you from here??, as any Brightonions know we cant afford to buy in our own home town anymore...it would be really nice that we could afford it!! So bring it on!!!....And then Maybe the rent prices will come down aswell!!! And our Football team will get full support from true Brightonions who will be able to afford to live back in BRIGHTON!!!
lulu, says...
4:56pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Anon, Hove says...
5:02pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Lucky7 wrote:Lucky7. To rent it out we would have to cover a mortgage repayment of £500 a month. We would be lucky to receive that much in rent, would we not? Then you suggest we pay 800/850 a month to rent a larger flat. How is that really going to help us? I thank you for your input, but I really don't think the sums add up. Bear in mind also, that if we went ahead and had a child, we would be relying on one wage only for some time. Anyone else have any suggestions please?
Anon, decide what you want the most. If it\'s a family rent your studio out, and with the balance from the mortgage (you said you paid relatively little for it) plus your normal mortgage payment you should be able to rent a two bedder (&800/850 less for one and a half), then when prices fall and borrowing easier either strip equity out of studio (and keep as investment) to put down on a new purchase or sell studio and do same. Think around the problem to do what is important to fulfill your life, not be trapped by it.
Born in Hove!!,, Hove says...
5:05pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Actually wrote:See..... its Brighton & hove now... we are a CITY!!!!...your the fool!!!!!!!!!!
Just reading all the quotes, and would like to know how many people are pure Brightonions,?? Went to school in Brighton?? and now work in Brighton??, Bringing up kids in Brighton??....Maybe im wrong but the ones who keep calling people names are you from here??, as any Brightonions know we cant afford to buy in our own home town anymore...it would be really nice that we could afford it!! So bring it on!!!....And then Maybe the rent prices will come down aswell!!! And our Football team will get full support from true Brightonions who will be able to afford to live back in BRIGHTON!!!Er....Brightonian? You\'re home town is Hove, by your own admission. Fool!
Flat Foot Soozie, Brunswick Square says...
5:07pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Lucky7, Brighton says...
5:08pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Actually, Hove says...
5:16pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Steve, Brighton says...
5:16pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Jim, Hove says...
5:18pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Anon wrote:Sounds like you need a better mortgage deal for a start. I would be interested to know what you paid for it but there must be captial there. Would you not consider refinancing it or selling to get a better deposit and look just outside of the town for a larger place? When I sold two years ago I bought in a small village near Brighton and got a large two bed house for the same money as a poor 2 bed flat in Brighton. The capital growth there has been significantly better and its a nice environment for kids, whilst still being easily accessible to town. My partner and I work in B&H.
Lucky7 wrote: Anon, decide what you want the most. If it\'s a family rent your studio out, and with the balance from the mortgage (you said you paid relatively little for it) plus your normal mortgage payment you should be able to rent a two bedder (&800/850 less for one and a half), then when prices fall and borrowing easier either strip equity out of studio (and keep as investment) to put down on a new purchase or sell studio and do same. Think around the problem to do what is important to fulfill your life, not be trapped by it.Lucky7. To rent it out we would have to cover a mortgage repayment of £500 a month. We would be lucky to receive that much in rent, would we not? Then you suggest we pay 800/850 a month to rent a larger flat. How is that really going to help us? I thank you for your input, but I really don't think the sums add up. Bear in mind also, that if we went ahead and had a child, we would be relying on one wage only for some time. Anyone else have any suggestions please?
Anon, Hove says...
5:35pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Brighthelmstone, Brighton says...
5:38pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Jim, Hove says...
5:43pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Anon wrote:if you e-mail me I will give you a number of someone I trust that could help give you an idea to help free up some of the capital etc etc. I won't just put it straight on here but use by spam e-mail acct at bigbadjimmy@lycos.co
Jim. We paid 80k for it and have a repayment mortgage with the Abbey. We would really like to stay in the area ( I AM born and bred here). Surely travel costs have to be taken into consideration too? So many people have said to us "just go ahead and put yourselves on the council list", but we don't want to go down that road. Also, if the value of properties falls dramatically, so will ours and we are then stuck in rented accommodation and all it's related problems (short leases, rent increases etc ). Perhaps we should see an advisor, but who to go to for fair advice?
Ben Wheeler, Brighton says...
5:46pm Thu 24 Jan 08
undercover agent, brighton says...
6:13pm Thu 24 Jan 08
David wrote:David, i think you are a rather mis educated idiot.
Hello, Redaing through the posts there must be some estate agents on here. Those of you who are complaining about this artcile, were you complaining when the papers wrote the opposite, house prices going to rocket forever buy NOW NOW NOW ! No thought not. What goes around comes around. What estate agents must understand is the housing market has had a great bull run and that bull run has come to an end, something was going to **** it and in this instance US subprime. Cheap money, reckless lending by banks how been out of order. Losses from the bank will hurt them badly and house prices are over valued by 35%. They will fall back to 2002 levels. So stop complaining and expect the worst because, debt, cheap free money has gone for for quite some time now.
mark, cheshire says...
6:16pm Thu 24 Jan 08
dc wrote:yet this is the truth, would you be happy if papers were still saying prices are going up and agents milking you for all the money they can get...
well this story does nothing to help the hundreds of estate agent businesses across sussex trying to stay afloat.
don't get me wrong, i am no fan of estate agents, but this scaremongering story is totally unjustified and wrong with no actual fact behind it.
This kind of talk helps no-one, yes things are bleak, but there are positives to come aswell.
Bored, of FFS and her inane comments says...
6:20pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Flat Foot Soozie wrote:Give it up woman fer chrissakes.
If nobody moves, then homes are scarce, and prices keep up - but, of course, there is then nothing for the Argus to get in weekly advertising supplement... Could this be behind this thin story?
Gavin, freater London says...
6:29pm Thu 24 Jan 08
phil wrote:Phil I'm glad newspapers are talking about it. Maybe if they talked about it a couple of years ago we wouldn't have such a massive housing bubble. The sooner it crashes the better as the longer it went on the more harm it would do. Sorry if you can't see that houses prices are inflated when it takes 10X salary to buy them. You are in denial.
We will not be satisfied until we talk ourselves into trouble. It is stories like this that do nothing to help the situation but just put fear in place. The meltdown anticipated above is pure exaggeration and based on very little fact.
george, aylesbury says...
6:47pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Hugh, Wiltshire says...
6:50pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Masterbates, Haywars Heath says...
6:56pm Thu 24 Jan 08
george, aylesbury says...
6:58pm Thu 24 Jan 08
undercover agent wrote:Undercover Agent, if there is such a massive shortage off houses then where is everone who's supposed to want them? It's all part of the speculative bubble that we are in. There is no real shortage now and there be even less of one when all the polish labour drifts home having run out of work. I think you've been sucked in to the bubble mentality. So are you going out tomorrow to buy lots of property to back up your stance? Or is it just that you have some stock to UNLOAD? In my area the local builders, Barratts and the like have stopped new building starts because they can't sell them. Affordability is the key to a bouyant market and only when wages have caught up will the market return to normal. Could be a few years and the well respected Merryl at Moneyweek reckons on about five years...
David wrote: Hello, Redaing through the posts there must be some estate agents on here. Those of you who are complaining about this artcile, were you complaining when the papers wrote the opposite, house prices going to rocket forever buy NOW NOW NOW ! No thought not. What goes around comes around. What estate agents must understand is the housing market has had a great bull run and that bull run has come to an end, something was going to **** it and in this instance US subprime. Cheap money, reckless lending by banks how been out of order. Losses from the bank will hurt them badly and house prices are over valued by 35%. They will fall back to 2002 levels. So stop complaining and expect the worst because, debt, cheap free money has gone for for quite some time now.David, i think you are a rather mis educated idiot. The fall in prices makes no difference to estate agents as they just fix the fees they charge. in a harder marketplace agents will charge more for the work they do. the only loser again is the homeowner. may i also point out that in europe, agents charge on average 5%. with the price issue, its a real shame that the argus is cheaply selling papers by reporting these silly headlines, they help no-one. The marketplace in brighton and indeed the country will be harder (in comparison) to 2007 however will not be as bad as the media forcasts. If you read what actual property experts believe the story is very different. people who over value property will go out of business. people who try and sell for too high a price will not sell. those who price correctly will sell. its what should be considered a normal market. whatever industry you are in, if you sell a product you have to get the price right, if you dont, it wont sell, its that simple. as a final thought, britain is not getting any bigger however due to the labour government opening up the flood gates, every day more and more people pile into the country. Mr Brown is even needing to build 3 million new homes to ease the housing crisis! if you want to find out the real state of the property market, look for an estate agent who is a member of the national association of estate agents. the know it all idiots are just that, idiots ...
John Doe, Uxbridge says...
6:59pm Thu 24 Jan 08
james wrote:
People also have a write to an investment brambo you idiot, especially as pensions are a joke..whats the matter..bitter cos you are still living with mumy and daddy..get over it!
james wrote:
People also have a write to an investment brambo you idiot, especially as pensions are a joke..whats the matter..bitter cos you are still living with mumy and daddy..get over it!
Charlie, ex Brighton says...
7:08pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Tel, Hove says...
7:17pm Thu 24 Jan 08
Graham, Hove says...
7:18pm Thu 24 Jan 08
undercover agent, brighton says...
7:27pm Thu 24 Jan 08
george wrote:
undercover agent wrote:Undercover Agent, if there is such a massive shortage off houses then where is everone who\'s supposed to want them? It\'s all part of the speculative bubble that we are in. There is no real shortage now and there be even less of one when all the polish labour drifts home having run out of work. I think you\'ve been sucked in to the bubble mentality. So are you going out tomorrow to buy lots of property to back up your stance? Or is it just that you have some stock to UNLOAD? In my area the loDavid wrote: Hello, Redaing through the posts there must be some estate agents on here. Those of you who are complaining about this artcile, were you complaining when the papers wrote the opposite, house prices going to rocket forever buy NOW NOW NOW ! No thought not. What goes around comes around. What estate agents must understand is the housing market has had a great bull run and that bull run has come to an end, something was going to **** it and in this instance US subprime. Cheap money, reckless lending by banks how been out of order. Losses from the bank will hurt them badly and house prices are over valued by 35%. They will fall back to 2002 levels. So stop complaining and expect the worst because, debt, cheap free money has gone for for quite some time now.David, i think you are a rather mis educated idiot. The fall in prices makes no difference to estate agents as they just fix the fees they charge. in a harder marketplace agents will charge more for the work they do. the only loser again is the homeowner. may i also point out that in europe, agents charge on average 5%. with the price issue, its a real shame that the argus is cheaply selling papers by reporting these silly headlines, they help no-one. The marketplace in brighton and indeed the country will be harder (in comparison) to 2007 however will not be as bad as the media forcasts. If you read what actual property experts believe the story is very different. people who over value property will go out of business. people who try and sell for too high a price will not sell. those who price correctly will sell. its what should be considered a normal market. whatever industry you are in, if you sell a product you have to get the price right, if you dont, it wont sell, its that simple. as a final thought, britain is not getting any bigger however due to the labour government opening up the flood gates, every day more and more people pile into the country. Mr Brown is even needing to build 3 million new homes to ease the housing crisis! if you want to find out the real state of the property market, look for an estate agent who is a member of the national association of estate agents. the know it all idiots are just that, idiots ...
dc, sussex says...
7:05am Thu 24 Jan 08
don't get me wrong, i am no fan of estate agents, but this scaremongering story is totally unjustified and wrong with no actual fact behind it.
This kind of talk helps no-one, yes things are bleak, but there are positives to come aswell.